Approval of Tony Abbott

Apr 8, 2014

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/

indep-endent

Tony Abbott as Opp. Leader

2 Sep 13

Tony Abbott as PM

24 Sep

12 Nov

14
Jan
14

11 Feb

11 Mar

Total approve

41%

11%

84%

12%

32%

40%

41%

45%

47%

41%

40%

Total disapprove

47%

84%

7%

76%

55%

49%

36%

40%

43%

47%

47%

Strongly approve

13%

3%

30%

-

5%

13%

14%

14%

13%

12%

11%

Approve

28%

8%

54%

12%

27%

27%

27%

31%

34%

29%

29%

Disapprove

17%

27%

5%

21%

23%

19%

13%

19%

18%

19%

20%

Strongly disapprove

30%

57%

2%

55%

32%

30%

23%

21%

25%

28%

27%

Don’t know

12%

6%

9%

12%

12%

10%

23%

16%

11%

12%

12%

 

41% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister and 47% (no change) disapprove. This represents little change in his rating as Prime Minister over the last four weeks – from net -7 to net -6.

By gender – 49% (up 5%) of men approve and 43% (down 3%) disapprove; 34% (down 3%) of women approve and 50% (up 1%) disapprove.

Approval of Bill Shorten

Apr 8, 2014

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/ Indep-endent

 

12 Nov 2013

14 Jan 2014

11 Feb

11 Mar

Total approve

34%

 

62%

16%

36%

29%

31%

35%

30%

32%

Total disapprove

38%

 

15%

61%

35%

44%

27%

32%

34%

39%

Strongly approve

6%

12%

3%

2%

2%

5%

5%

4%

4%

Approve

28%

50%

13%

34%

27%

26%

30%

26%

28%

Disapprove

22%

13%

29%

27%

25%

17%

20%

21%

24%

Strongly disapprove

16%

2%

32%

8%

19%

10%

12%

13%

15%

Don’t know

28%

23%

23%

30%

25%

43%

32%

35%

29%

34% (up 2%) approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader and 38% (down 1%) disapprove. 28% could not give an opinion. This represents an improvement in his rating as Opposition Leader over the last four weeks from net -7 to net -4.

By gender – 36% (no change) of men approve and 44% (up 2%) disapprove; 32% (up 3%) of women approve and 32% (down 4%) disapprove.

Better Prime Minister

Apr 8, 2014

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/

indep-endent

 

22 Oct 2013

12 Nov

14 Jan 2014

11 Feb

11 Mar

Tony Abbott

42%

9%

88%

14%

29%

41%

42%

42%

40%

39%

Bill Shorten

32%

67%

3%

54%

23%

22%

27%

31%

30%

33%

Don’t know

26%

25%

8%

31%

49%

37%

31%

27%

31%

28%

42%  (up 3%) think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 32% (down 1%) favour Bill Shorten. 26% could not make a choice.

Tony Abbott is favoured 47%/29% among men and 37%/34% among women.

Privatising Medibank Private

Apr 8, 2014

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s plan to privatise Medibank Private?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Nov 13

Total support

25%

12%

42%

15%

27%

22%

Total oppose

46%

69%

25%

52%

54%

43%

Strongly support

6%

4%

11%

2%

3%

5%

Support

19%

8%

31%

13%

24%

17%

Oppose

23%

27%

19%

29%

28%

20%

Strongly oppose

23%

42%

6%

23%

26%

23%

Don’t know

28%

18%

33%

34%

19%

35%

46% oppose the privatisation of Medibank Private, 25% support and 28% don’t know. This represents small increases for both support (+3%) and oppose (+3%) since this question was asked in November. Don’t knows have dropped from 35% to 28%.

Those most likely to support the privatisation of Medibank Private were men (32%) and Liberal/National voters (42%).

Those most likely to oppose it were aged 45-64 (54%) and Labor voters (69%).

Impact on fees of privatising Medibank Private

Apr 8, 2014

Q. Do you think the sale of Medibank Private will cause an increase or decrease in health insurance fees or will it make no difference?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total increase

61%

77%

48%

68%

64%

Total decrease

3%

2%

3%

5%

2%

Fees will increase a lot

36%

55%

21%

30%

36%

Fees will increase a little

25%

22%

27%

38%

28%

Will make no difference to fees

19%

7%

36%

10%

21%

Fees will decrease a little

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

Fees will decrease a lot

1%

*

1%

1%

1%

Don’t know

17%

14%

15%

17%

13%

61% of respondents think that the sale of Medibank Private will cause an increase in health insurance fees, 19% think it will make no difference and 3% think fees will decrease.

Those most likely to think fees will increase were Labor voters (77%), Greens voters (68%), aged 45-64 (66%) and people on incomes under $600pw (69%).

Selling Government-owned assets

Apr 8, 2014

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Treasurer Joe Hockey’s proposal that State Governments sell their Government-owned assets (e.g. ports, rail, roads) to fund construction of new infrastructure?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/ Indep-endent

Total approve

25%

 

10%

44%

17%

23%

Total disapprove

58%

 

80%

41%

63%

60%

Strongly approve

7%

3%

11%

4%

8%

Approve

18%

7%

33%

13%

15%

Disapprove

27%

25%

31%

28%

22%

Strongly disapprove

31%

55%

10%

35%

38%

Don’t know

18%

11%

16%

19%

16%

58% disapprove of the Treasurer Joe Hockey’s proposal that State Governments sell their Government-owned to fund construction of new infrastructure and 25% approve.

Labor voters (80%) and Greens voters (63%) strongly disapprove but Liberal/National voters are divided with 44% approve/41% disapprove.

Climate change

Apr 8, 2014

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

Jun 11

Oct 12

Oct 13

Jan 14

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

56%

70%

39%

87%

46%

53%

45%

50%

48%

52%

51%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

34%

23%

51%

5%

39%

34%

36%

39%

39%

36%

39%

Don’t know

10%

7%

10%

8%

15%

13%

19%

12%

13%

12%

11%

56% (up 5% since January) agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 34% (down 5%) believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is the largest gap recorded between these figures since this question was first asked in 2009.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 65%/22% and those aged 55+ split 42%/52%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 66%/24%.

Actions on climate change

Apr 8, 2014

Q. Which of the following actions on climate change do you most support?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Oct 13

Keeping the carbon tax

17%

27%

6%

29%

19%

15%

Replacing the carbon tax with an emissions trading scheme

22%

30%

14%

35%

19%

21%

Replacing the carbon tax with the Liberal’s “direct action” plan

12%

4%

23%

4%

13%

15%

Dumping the carbon tax and not replacing it at all

30%

19%

44%

9%

35%

31%

Don’t know

19%

20%

13%

23%

15%

18%

30% think the carbon tax should be dumped and not replaced, 22% support replacing it with an emissions trading scheme, 12% prefer the Liberal’s “direct action” plan and 17% think the Government should keep the carbon tax. These figures have changed little since this question was asked in October.

Those most likely to support keeping the tax or changing to an emissions trading scheme were Labor voters (57%) and Greens voters (64%) and those with a university education (51%).

Those most likely to think the carbon tax should be dumped and not replaced were Liberal/National voters (44%) and those who had not completed secondary education (43%). Only 23% of Liberal/National voters preferred the Liberal’s “direct action” plan (down from 28% in October).

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 1, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,867 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

43%

44%

42%

Labor

33.4%

38%

36%

37%

39%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

51%

51%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

49%

49%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


 

State of the economy

Apr 1, 2014

Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?

 

 

28 May 12

8 Apr 13

16 Sep 13

21 Jan 14

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total good

35%

45%

40%

34%

38%

38%

47%

36%

21%

Total poor

29%

26%

25%

26%

24%

24%

18%

24%

46%

Very good

6%

8%

6%

4%

3%

3%

5%

5%

-

Good

29%

37%

34%

30%

35%

35%

42%

31%

21%

Neither good nor poor

33%

28%

32%

36%

34%

34%

33%

37%

33%

Poor

20%

17%

20%

21%

19%

18%

16%

20%

31%

Very poor

9%

9%

5%

5%

5%

6%

2%

4%

15%

Don’t know

2%

2%

3%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

-

38% described the economy as good or very good and 24% poor/very poor – 34% said it was neither. This represents a net improvement from +8 to +14 since January. The main shift since January was an increase of 7% for “good” and a decrease of 6% for “poor” among Liberal/National voters.

Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were people with incomes over $1,600pw (42%). Liberal/National voters (47%) were more likely that Labor voters (38%) to think the economy was good.

Australian economy heading in right or wrong direction

Apr 1, 2014

Q. From what you have read and heard, do you think the Australian economy is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

 

 

17 May 10

9 May 11

18 Jun 12

29 Apr 13

16 Sep 13

21 Jan 14

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

The right direction

51%

45%

43%

36%

44%

38%

39%

25%

67%

22%

21%

The wrong direction

25%

29%

32%

39%

26%

33%

34%

43%

15%

50%

61%

Don’t know

24%

25%

25%

25%

30%

29%

26%

32%

19%

29%

18%

39% of respondents think that Australia’s economy is heading in the right direction – 34% think it is heading in the wrong direction. These figures are almost unchanged since this question was asked in January.

25% (up 2%) of Labor voters, 67% (up 4%) of Liberal/National voters and 22% (up 1%) of Greens voters think the economy is heading in the right direction. 45% of men think the economy is heading in the right direction compared to 33% of women.

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