Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 20, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,775 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

5 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

20/01/15

Liberal

 

35%

36%

National

4%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

10%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

5 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

20/01/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Military forces in Iraq

Jan 20, 2015

Q. During his recent visit to Iraq the Prime Minister promised to “deepen our cooperation” with Iraq against Islamic State (ISIS). Do you think Australia should –

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Increase our military forces in Iraq

11%

8%

19%

-

10%

Maintain our current military forces in Iraq

37%

37%

45%

26%

31%

Withdraw our military forces from Iraq

34%

42%

21%

52%

41%

Don’t know

18%

13%

15%

22%

18%

37% think Australia should maintain the current military forces in Iraq and 34% think they should be withdrawn. Only 11% think military forces in Iraq should be increased.

52% of Greens voters and 42% of Labor voters think they should be withdrawn. 19% of Liberal/National voters think they should be increased.

Trust in Institutions

Jan 20, 2015

Q. How much trust do you have in the following institutions and organisations?

 

Total

trust

 

A lot of trust

Some trust

A little trust

No trust

Don’t know

% change

 

Total trust

Jun 12

Total trust

Mar 13

Total trust

Jul 14

The ABC

53%

20%

33%

28%

12%

8%

-1

54%

70%

54%

The High Court

53%

17%

36%

27%

12%

8%

-4

60%

74%

57%

The Reserve Bank

49%

14%

35%

30%

12%

9%

-3

49%

64%

52%

Charitable organisations

44%

7%

37%

36%

13%

7%

-1

50%

52%

45%

Environment groups

33%

5%

28%

39%

20%

8%

+2

32%

41%

31%

Your local council

32%

4%

28%

41%

21%

6%

-1

na

34%

33%

The Commonwealth Public Service

32%

4%

28%

39%

17%

11%

+1

30%

36%

31%

Newspapers

30%

3%

27%

43%

20%

6%

-

26%

30%

30%

Online news media

27%

3%

24%

43%

22%

8%

+2

23%

27%

25%

Federal Parliament

25%

3%

22%

36%

32%

7%

-

22%

34%

25%

TV news media

25%

2%

23%

44%

24%

6%

-7

21%

30%

32%

State Parliament

24%

3%

21%

37%

32%

7%

-

na

30%

24%

Trade unions

23%

4%

19%

34%

35%

9%

+1

22%

25%

22%

Business groups

23%

2%

21%

43%

23%

10%

+1

22%

26%

22%

Religious organisations

22%

4%

18%

30%

40%

7%

-4

27%

27%

26%

Political parties

14%

1%

13%

35%

45%

6%

+1

12%

12%

13%

 Note: ‘Total Trust’ is an aggregate figure achieved by adding ‘A lot of trust’ and ‘Some trust’

There have been few significant changes since this question was asked in July last year.

Respondents had most trust in the ABC (53%), the High Court (53%), the Reserve Bank (49%) and charitable organisations (44%). They had least trust in political parties (14%) and religious organisations (22%).

The main changes since the last poll were for TV news media (down 7% to 25%) and religious organisations (down 4% to 22%).

Compared to the average, Labor voters had more trust in the ABC (61%), environment groups (42%) and trade unions (33%).

Liberal/National voters, compared to the average, had a little more trust in the Reserve Bank (59%), religious organisations (29%), newspapers (38%), TV news (33%), Federal Parliament (39%), State Parliament (35%) and business groups (33%).

Trust in use of personal information

Jan 20, 2015

Q. How much trust do you have in the following organisations to responsibly use any personal information they may have about you?

 

Total trust

 

A lot of trust

Some trust

A little trust

No trust

Don’t know

Not applic-able

to me

% change

 

Total trust Sep 13

Total trust

Jul 14

The medical profession

66%

32%

34%

21%

8%

3%

2%

-1

73%

67%

Law enforcement agencies

53%

20%

33%

27%

14%

5%

2%

-1

56%

54%

Your employer

43%

18%

25%

22%

9%

4%

22%

-1

46%

44%

Banks

39%

11%

28%

36%

20%

4%

2%

-5

45%

44%

Companies you buy things from in person

36%

5%

31%

40%

17%

5%

2%

-2

44%

38%

The Government

32%

6%

26%

32%

30%

4%

2%

+1

31%

31%

Companies you buy things from online

28%

3%

25%

40%

22%

5%

4%

-2

27%

30%

Insurance companies

26%

4%

22%

37%

30%

5%

3%

-1

26%

27%

Mobile phone and internet providers

24%

3%

21%

42%

28%

5%

1%

+1

29%

23%

TV networks

19%

3%

16%

40%

32%

6%

4%

-

20%

19%

Social media sites

12%

2%

10%

29%

49%

5%

5%

-

12%

12%

The most trusted people/organisations to use personal information were the medical profession (66% trust), law enforcement agencies (53%), employers (43%) and banks (39%). The least trusted were social media sites (12%) and TV networks (19%).

Since this question was asked in July last year, the only significant change was a drop of 5% for banks (down from 44% to 39%).

Interest in major sporting events

Jan 20, 2015

Q. How much interest do you have in the following sporting events taking place in Australia over the next couple of months?

 

Total a lot/ some

A lot

Some

Not much

None

Don’t know

 

Men

Women

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

The Australian Open (tennis)

45%

17%

28%

20%

33%

3%

46%

43%

47%

43%

45%

The World Cup (cricket)

42%

19%

23%

17%

38%

3%

51%

33%

34%

41%

52%

The Asian Cup (soccer)

29%

9%

20%

22%

46%

3%

36%

23%

30%

27%

31%

The Australian Grand Prix (motor racing)

23%

8%

15%

26%

49%

3%

32%

13%

20%

24%

23%

The Tour Down Under (cycling)

19%

5%

14%

26%

52%

3%

23%

15%

15%

18%

23%

The sporting events of most interest were the Australian Open (45% a lot/some interest) and the cricket World Cup (42%).

The World Cup was the event of most interest to men (51%) and the Australian Open of most interest to women (43%).

While the Australian Open had similar levels of interest across age and gender, all other events had more interest for men and the World Cup had more interest for older respondents (52% of those aged 55+).

Use of online media

Jan 20, 2015

Q. How often do you use the following online media - 

 

Total at least once a week

 

At least daily

Several times a week

About once a week

Less often

Never

Can’t say

Google

83%

45%

28%

10%

6%

9%

2%

Facebook

68%

42%

16%

10%

9%

21%

2%

Newspaper websites

49%

18%

17%

14%

21%

27%

3%

Other news websites

44%

13%

17%

14%

20%

32%

4%

Blogs

20%

3%

7%

10%

19%

59%

3%

Websites about social and political campaigns

13%

1%

5%

7%

21%

61%

4%

Twitter

16%

5%

5%

6%

11%

70%

3%

Instagram

19%

8%

5%

6%

9%

70%

3%

Flickr

7%

1%

2%

4%

9%

82%

3%

FourSquare

6%

1%

2%

3%

4%

87%

4%

LinkedIn

15%

2%

5%

8%

17%

65%

3%

MySpace

5%

1%

2%

2%

5%

87%

3%

YouTube

54%

9%

24%

21%

25%

18%

2%

Google+

21%

5%

8%

8%

17%

58%

4%

Pinterest

13%

2%

4%

7%

15%

69%

3%

Tumblr

7%

1%

3%

3%

8%

82%

3%

The most used online media were Google (83% at least once a week), Facebook (68%), Youtube (54%), Newspaper websites (49%) and other news websites (44%).

Men were heavier users of Twitter (22%), LinkedIn (20%) and Youtube (60%).

Women were heavier users of Facebook (72%) and Pinterest (18%).

 

Total at least once a week

 

Men

Women

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Google

83%

81%

85%

86%

83%

79%

Facebook

68%

65%

72%

81%

67%

57%

Newspaper websites

49%

51%

47%

50%

52%

41%

Other news websites

44%

43%

45%

46%

45%

42%

Blogs

20%

20%

20%

29%

17%

9%

Websites about social and political campaigns

13%

16%

11%

21%

12%

10%

Twitter

16%

22%

12%

27%

15%

4%

Instagram

19%

17%

20%

42%

10%

3%

Flickr

7%

8%

5%

15%

3%

-

FourSquare

6%

6%

4%

11%

3%

*

LinkedIn

15%

20%

12%

18%

19%

7%

MySpace

5%

5%

4%

10%

3%

*

YouTube

54%

60%

50%

74%

52%

37%

Google+

21%

21%

20%

20%

21%

21%

Pinterest

13%

8%

18%

22%

10%

7%

Tumblr

7%

7%

6%

15%

5%

*

 

Opinions of social media

Jan 20, 2015

Q. For each of the statements about social media (like facebook, twitter) below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree 

 

Total agree

Total disagree

 

Strongly agree

Agree

Disagree

Strongly disagree

Don’t know

Online social media are a good way to have your say on political issues

46%

37%

5%

41%

23%

14%

17%

Online social media can get people interested in political affairs

50%

29%

5%

45%

19%

10%

21%

Most people spend too much time on social media at the expense of other activities

80%

9%

36%

44%

7%

2%

10%

Online social media is a modern way to keep abreast of political affairs

48%

36%

5%

43%

23%

13%

16%

I frequently share things of interest on social media

35%

59%

6%

29%

29%

30%

6%

A large majority (80%) agreed that “Most people spend too much time on social media at the expense of other activities”.

However, respondents were also more likely to agree that online social media can get people interested in political affairs (50%), is a modern way to keep abreast of political affairs (48%) and are a good way to have your say on political issues 46%).

35% agree that they frequently share things of interest on social media.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 13, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

13/01/15

Liberal

 

35%

35%

National

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

38%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

10%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

13/01/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

46%

Labor

46.5%

52%

54%

NB. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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