Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 15, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,887 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/3/14

2 weeks ago

1/4/14

Last week

8/4/14

This week

15/4/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

40%

40%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

42%

42%

Labor

33.4%

36%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

3%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/3/14

2 weeks ago

1/4/14

Last week

8/4/14

This week

15/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

49%

49%

50%

Labor

46.5%

49%

51%

51%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Leader Attributes – Tony Abbott

Apr 15, 2014

Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Tony Abbott?

 

2 Sep 14

(as Opposition leader)

29 Oct 14

 

Total

15 Apr

Change

Hard working

71%

67%

66%

-1

Intelligent

63%

62%

59%

-3

Arrogant

52%

54%

58%

+4

Narrow-minded

55%

54%

56%

+2

Out of touch with ordinary people

52%

51%

56%

+5

A capable leader

46%

52%

50%

-2

Superficial

48%

49%

50%

+1

Understands the problems facing Australia

46%

51%

48%

-3

Intolerant

47%

49%

47%

-2

Aggressive

47%

46%

45%

-1

Good in a crisis

39%

45%

45%

-

Erratic

43%

43%

43%

-

Trustworthy

38%

40%

40%

-

More honest than most politicians

34%

39%

37%

-2

Visionary

35%

33%

34%

+1

Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard working (66%), intelligent (59%), arrogant (58%), narrow-minded (56%) and out of touch with ordinary people (56%).

Since October, the largest shifts have been for out of touch with ordinary people (+5) and arrogant (+4).

Leader Attributes – Bill Shorten

Apr 15, 2014

Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Bill Shorten?

 

29 Oct 14

 

Total

15 Apr

Change

Intelligent

69%

63%

-6

Hard working

65%

60%

-5

Understands the problems facing Australia

50%

44%

-6

Out of touch with ordinary people

42%

44%

+2

Superficial

37%

43%

+6

A capable leader

49%

42%

-7

Arrogant

35%

40%

+5

Narrow-minded

31%

39%

+8

Erratic

30%

37%

+7

Good in a crisis

40%

36%

-4

Trustworthy

34%

32%

-2

Intolerant

30%

32%

+2

Aggressive

31%

31%

-

Visionary

33%

28%

-5

More honest than most politicians

27%

26%

-1

Bill Shorten’s key attributes were intelligent (63%), hard working (60%), understands the problems facing Australia (44%) and out of touch with ordinary people (44%). Since October, the largest shifts have been for narrow-minded (+8), a capable leader (-7), erratic (+7), intelligent (-6), understands the problems facing Australia (-6) and superficial (+6).

Leader Attributes – Comparisons

Apr 15, 2014
 

Abbott

Shorten

 

Difference

Arrogant

58%

40%

+18

Narrow-minded

56%

39%

+17

Intolerant

47%

32%

+15

Aggressive

45%

31%

+14

Out of touch with ordinary people

56%

44%

+12

More honest than most politicians

37%

26%

+11

Good in a crisis

45%

36%

+9

A capable leader

50%

42%

+8

Trustworthy

40%

32%

+8

Superficial

50%

43%

+7

Erratic

43%

37%

+6

Hard-working

66%

60%

+6

Visionary

34%

28%

+6

Understands the problems facing Australia

48%

44%

+4

Intelligent

59%

63%

-4

Compared to Bill Shorten, Tony Abbott is much more likely to be considered arrogant (+18), narrow minded (+17), intolerant (+15), aggressive (+14), out of touch with ordinary people (+12) and more honest than most politicians (+11).

Bill Shorten is regarded by more slightly respondents to be intelligent (-4).

Note that Bill Shorten’s ratings are mostly lower than those of Tony Abbott on both positive and negative attributes – presumably because he is less well known.

Abolish minimum wage

Apr 15, 2014

Q. The current Australian minimum wage for adult workers is $16.37 per hour. It has been suggested that this minimum wage should be abolished so that some workers could be paid less than this rate. Do you agree or disagree that the minimum wage should be abolished?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total agree

15%

9%

21%

15%

15%

Total disagree

77%

86%

68%

78%

82%

Strongly agree

5%

5%

7%

-

5%

Agree

10%

4%

14%

15%

10%

Disagree

19%

11%

27%

9%

16%

Strongly disagree

58%

75%

41%

69%

66%

Don’t know

9%

4%

12%

6%

3%

77% disagree with abolishing the minimum wage and 15% agree.

Those most likely to agree were Liberal/National voters (21%), men (21%), full-time workers (20%) and those with university education (20%).

Political party advertising

Apr 15, 2014

Q. Would you support or oppose a limit on the amount political parties and candidates can spend on advertising in elections?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total support

84%

83%

85%

88%

89%

Total oppose

8%

9%

8%

5%

7%

Strongly support

56%

57%

52%

62%

73%

Support

28%

26%

33%

26%

16%

Oppose

4%

5%

3%

4%

4%

Strongly oppose

4%

4%

5%

1%

3%

Don’t know

7%

7%

6%

6%

4%

84% support a limit on the amount political parties and candidates can spend on advertising in elections and 8% oppose. Support was similar across all voter groups.

Other political advertising

Apr 15, 2014

Q. And would you support or oppose a limit on the amount other organisations or individuals (e.g. trade unions, business groups) can spend on advertising in elections?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total support

78%

75%

80%

87%

78%

Total oppose

11%

14%

11%

8%

12%

Strongly support

48%

48%

51%

48%

52%

Support

30%

27%

29%

39%

26%

Oppose

7%

10%

6%

6%

8%

Strongly oppose

4%

4%

5%

2%

4%

Don’t know

11%

11%

8%

6%

10%

Support for a limit on selection advertising spending by other organisations was a little lower than for political parties. 78% support a limit on the amount other organisations can spend on advertising in elections and 11% oppose. Labor voters (75%) were a little less supportive than Liberal/National voters (80%) and Greens voters (87%).

Free Trade Agreement with Japan

Apr 15, 2014

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Free Trade Agreement recently signed with Japan?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total approve

52%

46%

65%

38%

45%

Total disapprove

13%

17%

8%

19%

19%

Strongly approve

13%

13%

16%

5%

11%

Approve

39%

33%

49%

33%

34%

Disapprove

8%

12%

5%

9%

8%

Strongly disapprove

5%

5%

3%

10%

11%

Don’t know

36%

36%

28%

43%

35%

52% approve of the Free Trade Agreement recently signed with Japan and 13% disapprove. 36% could not give an opinion.

Approval was highest among Liberal/National voters (65%), men (63%), aged 55+ (60%) and full-time workers (61%).

 

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