Search results for "immigration"
Sep 26, 2011
Essential Research

Best way of processing of asylum seekers

Q. Thinking about the issue of asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat, which of the following alternatives do you think is the best way to process those arriving:

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens 50% or more About 25% About 10% About 5% 1% or less
Offshore, in any other country 11% 17% 11% 5% 17% 12% 10% 8% 9%
Offshore, but only in a country where human rights are protected 31% 31% 37% 25% 27% 41% 36% 40% 30%
Onshore (in Australia) 21% 24% 11% 58% 4% 7% 19% 27% 42%
Turn the boats around 28% 21% 36% 6% 51% 39% 30% 23% 15%
Don’t know 9% 8% 6% 6% 1% 1% 5% 3% 4%

The most favoured method of processing asylum seekers was ‘offshore, but only in a country where human rights are protected’ (31%), followed by ‘turn the boats around’ (28%).

Respondents then favour processing ‘onshore in Australia’ (21%) over processing asylum seekers ‘offshore in any other country’ (11%).

Coalition voters are more likely to prefer processing asylum seekers offshore where human rights are protected (37%), as well as turning the boats around (36%).

Greens voters are much more likely to prefer onshore processing in Australia (58%).  Labor voters are more likely to prefer processing offshore in any other country (17%) and somewhat more likely to prefer processing ‘onshore in Australia’ (24%).

Respondents that believe the proportion of boat arrivals constitute ‘50% or more’ of the annual immigration intake are far more likely to favour ‘turning the boats around’ (51%).

Conversely, respondents that believe the proportion to be ‘1% or less’ are far more likely to be in favour of processing onshore in Australia (42%).

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Mar 1, 2011
Essential Research

The polling that drives dog whistle politics … and may cure them

First published on The Drum: 01/03/2011

Here is the polling that is driving Scott Morrison’s subterranean attack on Muslims, confirmation that a majority of Australians are concerned about their numbers.

For too long conservative blowhards like Morrison have been running agendas that directly reference these findings but because they have remained hidden in a desk drawer they are merely debating an issue.

After much soul-searching, Essential has decided to commit an act of political interruption. We debated whether it was worth giving voice to these attitudes long and hard, but we believe getting this stuff out in the open is the only way to silence the dog whistle.

Q. Are you concerned about the number of Muslim people in Australia?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total concerned 57% 50% 69% 32%
Total not concerned 38% 46% 28% 68%
Very Concerned 28% 21% 37% 12%
Somewhat concerned 29% 29% 32% 20%
Not very concerned 21% 23% 19% 27%
Not at all concerned 17% 23% 9% 41%
Don’t know/Refused 5% 4% 2%

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Dec 21, 2010
Essential Research

Polls don’t kill people, people kill people

First Published on The Drum 21/12/2010

If our politicians are feeling bloody and bruised after a torrid year of spills and thrills, spare a thought for the one group on the national stage that had a harder time of it in 2010 – the humble pollster.

This was the year when hand wringing about the malign impact of political research became a national sport; if there was a problem with politics, political research was the cause. We were to blame for the uninspiring election campaign; for the dumbing down of political reporting; for robbing the ALP of its soul.

So as a purveyor of the Dark Art I want to end the year with a plea for understanding for the minority group I am part of, stealing the catchcry of the Shooters Lobby in the 1990s to proudly declare ‘polls don’t kill people, people kill people’.

Before doing so, I will readily admit that political research can be put to poor use – running focus groups to get ‘permission’ from the electorate to pursue particular policies is to misunderstand the point of such research.
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Dec 7, 2010
Essential Research

Climate change? Scepticism becomes mainstream

First Published on The Drum 07/12/2010

It was a year ago today that the hottest gig in global warming opened in Copenhagen, amidst expectations that the world’s leaders would rise above their geographical interests and make a stand for the future.

Twelve months on and the hopes of Copenhagen seem as retro as a Midnight Oil album, the world has opted to sleep even when our beds are burning.

While the lack of political action over the past year has been well documented, this week’s Essential Report picks up another dynamic that is both a response to and a driver for this inertia. For the first time, we have found less than 50 per cent of Australians think climate change is real.

Dec 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 45% 53% 32% 76%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 36% 27% 53% 14%
Don’t know 19% 20% 15% 10%

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Dec 6, 2010
Essential Research

Importance of Climate Change Issue

Q. Compared to other issues that are often raised in politics – like the economy, healthcare, immigration, etc –  how important to you personally is the issue of tackling climate change?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total important 61% 73% 50% 87%
Total not important 35% 25% 47% 12%
Very important 24% 31% 15% 55%
Quite important 37% 42% 35% 32%
Not so important 26% 18% 35% 11%
Not at all important 9% 7% 12% 1%
Don’t know 4% 3% 3%

61% think tackling climate change is a very important (24%) or quite important (37%) issue – 35% think it is not important. 73% of Labor voters and 87% of Greens voters think it is important while Liberal/National voters are split (50% important/47% not important).

Those most likely to think it is important were women (65%) and aged 18-35 (68%).

Of those who believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity, 47% think it is a very important issue and 46% a quite important issue.

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Nov 29, 2010
Essential Research

Importance of Same Sex Marriage Issue

Q. Compared to other issues that are often raised in politics – like the economy, healthcare, immigration, etc –  how important to you personally is the issue of whether people of the same sex should be allowed to marry?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total important 37% 37% 32% 56%
Total not important 60% 60% 66% 42%
Very important 15% 16% 13% 24%
Quite important 22% 21% 19% 32%
Not so important 31% 33% 30% 23%
Not at all important 29% 27% 36% 19%
Don’t know 4% 3% 1% 2%

37% believe the same sex marriage is an important issue and 60% think it is not important. A majority of Greens voters (56%) think it is important.

41% of those who support same sex marriage think the issue is important and 36% of those opposed think it important.

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Oct 26, 2010
Essential Research

So where is the Left?

First Published on The Drum 26/10/2010

If political progressives want to stop the ALP from drifting to the Right, energetically backing the decision to move women and children out of immigration detention looks like a good place to start.

Prime Minister Julia Gillard and Immigration minister Chris Bowen took the new minority government’s first truly brave decision last week, yet all they got was a sullen acceptance from a Left still acting like jilted lovers after the disappointments of the election campaign.

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Oct 25, 2010
Essential Research

Moving children out of detention centres

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Government’s decision to move children and their families out of immigration detention centres and allow them to live in the community while their cases are being processed?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total approve 33% 42% 24% 63%
Total disapprove 53% 45% 67% 28%
Strongly approve 11% 15% 4% 39%
Approve 22% 27% 20% 24%
Disapprove 24% 22% 29% 12%
Strongly disapprove 29% 23% 38% 16%
Don’t know 13% 13% 9% 8%

53% disapproved the Federal Government’s decision to move children and their families out of immigration detention centres and allow them to live in the community while their cases are being processed and 33% approved.

63% of Greens voters approved, 67% of Liberal/National voters disapproved and Labor voters were split 42% approve/45% disapprove.

By gender – men 38% approve/50% disapprove, women 28% approve/57% disapprove.

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