Federal Voting Intention

Oct 20, 2020

Q. If a Federal election was held tomorrow, to which party would you give your first preference vote in the House of Representatives (Lower House)?

[If don’t know] Well which party are you currently leaning towards?

Q       This week

19/10

Last week

12/10

Two weeks ago

05/10

21/09 07/09 24/08 10/08
Liberal / Liberal Nationals / Country Liberals 36% 38% 37% 38% 35% 36% 36%
Nationals 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2%
Total: Coalition 39% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 38%
Labor 35% 33% 34% 31% 32% 35% 34%
Greens 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 3% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4%
Other/Independent 7% 5% 6% 5% 9% 6% 5%
Undecided 8% 9% 7% 9% 8% 7% 10%
               
2 Party Preferred (2PP+)              
TOTAL: Coalition 48% 47% 47% 49% 45% 47% 46%
Labor 45% 44% 46% 42% 47% 45% 44%
Undecided 8% 9% 7% 9% 8% 7% 10%

 

Performance of Scott Morrison

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20 Jul’20 Jun’20 May’20 Apr’20 Mar’20 Feb’20 Jan’20 Dec’19 Nov’19
TOTAL: Approve 63% 64% 66% 63% 65% 64% 59% 41% 39% 40% 45% 45%
TOTAL: Disapprove 27% 28% 23% 27% 26% 27% 31% 49% 52% 52% 43% 41%
Don’t know 10% 8% 11% 10% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 8% 13% 13%
Base (n) 1,082 1,076 1,010 1,054 1,059 1,093 1,069 1,096 1,056 1,081 1,035 1,075

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Strongly approve 23% 10% 43% 13% 20%
Approve 40% 35% 46% 41% 39%
Disapprove 15% 24% 6% 13% 21%
Strongly disapprove 12% 24% 2% 21% 13%
Don’t know 10% 7% 3% 12% 7%
TOTAL: Approve 63% 45% 89% 54% 58%
TOTAL: Disapprove 27% 48% 8% 34% 35%
Base (n) 1,082 352 421 84 123
  • The Prime Minister’s approval rating is consistent with last month, now at 63% compared to 64% in September.
  • Approval of the Prime Minister among is at 89% among Coalition supporters and just under half among Labor voters (45%). More Greens and independent/other party voters approve of the Prime Minister, than disapprove.

Performance of Anthony Albanese

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Anthony Albanese is doing as Opposition Leader?

Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20 Jul’20 Jun’20 May’20 Apr’20 Mar’20 Feb’20 Jan’20 Dec’19 Nov’19
TOTAL: Approve 44% 44% 44% 44% 43% 42% 44% 41% 41% 43% 39% 37%
TOTAL: Disapprove 29% 29% 30% 28% 30% 27% 29% 33% 31% 30% 28% 34%
Don’t know 27% 27% 25% 28% 26% 31% 27% 26% 28% 27% 33% 29%
Base (n) 1,082 1,076 1,010 1,054 1,059 1,093 1,069 1,096 1,056 1,081 1,035 1,075

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Strongly approve 10% 15% 7% 16% 11%
Approve 33% 50% 27% 27% 30%
Disapprove 20% 12% 30% 16% 19%
Strongly disapprove 10% 1% 18% 4% 19%
Don’t know 27% 21% 18% 36% 20%
TOTAL: Approve 44% 65% 34% 43% 41%
TOTAL: Disapprove 29% 13% 47% 21% 38%
Base (n) 1,082 352 421 84 123
  • The Opposition Leader’s approval rating remains consistent for the fourth consecutive month at 44%.
  • Albanese’s approval among Labor voters is steady at 65% following the decline from 70% to 62% between July and August. The proportion of Labor voters who strongly approve of his performance remains at 15%.

Preferred Prime Minister

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

  Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20 Jul’20 Jun’20 May’20 Apr’20 Mar’20 Feb’20 Jan’20 Nov’19 Oct’19
Scott Morrison 50% 49% 52% 50% 53% 50% 46% 40% 36% 36% 44% 43%
Anthony Albanese 25% 26% 22% 27% 23% 25% 27% 35% 36% 39% 28% 28%
Don’t know 25% 25% 26% 23% 24% 25% 27% 25% 28% 25% 29% 29%
Base (n) 1,082 1,076 1,010 1,054 1,059 1,093 1,069 1,096 1,056 1,081 1,075 1,088

 

    Federal Voting Intention
Total Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Scott Morrison 50% 25% 82% 32% 48%
Anthony Albanese 25% 50% 8% 38% 20%
Don’t know 25% 24% 10% 29% 32%
Base (n) 1,082 352 421 84 123
  • Half of participants believe that Scott Morrison would make a better PM than Anthony Albanese (50%), while a quarter would prefer the opposition leader. A further quarter (25%) of participants don’t know who would make the better PM.
  • Morrison is strongly favoured by Coalition voters, with 82% believing Morrison makes the better PM, compared to Albanese (8%).
  • Half of Labor voters believe Albanese would make the better PM (50%, up from 46% in September). 24% of Labor voters said they didn’t know who would make the better leader.

Performance of State Premiers

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job <NAME> is doing as State Premier?

[Only asked in NSW, VIC, QLD, SA and WA]

 

 

Gladys Berejiklian

NSW

Daniel Andrews

VIC

Annastacia Palaszczuk

QLD

Steven Marshall

SA

Mark McGowan

WA

Strongly approve 27% 25% 23% 16% 53%
Approve 41% 29% 39% 36% 31%
Disapprove 14% 16% 12% 14% 6%
Strongly disapprove 9% 24% 15% 5% 1%
Don’t know 11% 6% 10% 29% 10%
TOTAL: Approve 67% 54% 62% 51% 84%
TOTAL: Disapprove 22% 40% 28% 20% 7%
Base (n) 352 274 217 82 105
  • Mark McGowan in WA has the highest approval of State premiers, with 84% approving of his leadership, and just 7% disapproval.
  • Victorian Dan Andrews has the lowest approval rating (54% approval, with 40% disapproval). He maintains approval among Labor voters (78% approval), but majority of Coalition voters in Victoria disapprove of his leadership (54%).
  • Gladys Berejiklian has a high approval rating compared to other state premiers (67%). She has a majority approval among Coalition voters (83%), Labor voters (57%) and other parties (60%).
  • 62% of Queenslanders approval of the job Annastacia Palaszczuk is doing ahead of the election later this month. 28% disapprove of the Queensland premier, driven by high disapproval ratings among Coalition voters (37%).

Federal Government led by Labor or Coalition better at…

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Do you think a Federal Government led by Labor or the Coalition would be better at…?

  Coalition Labor Neither
Reducing national debt 42% 28% 30%
Managing the economy 44% 31% 25%
Creating jobs 39% 38% 23%
Helping those who’ve lost work because of Covid-19 get back into the workforce 38% 40% 22%
Supporting those in financial need 35% 42% 23%
Improving the financial situation of women 31% 38% 31%
  • A Coalition government is thought to be better than Labor at governance issues such as reducing national debt (42% to 28%) and managing the economy (44% to 31%).
  • Elements where Labor is seen to do a better job than the Coalition is in supporting those in financial need (42% to 35%) and improving the financial situation for women (38% to 31%).
  • Both parties are seen to be equally competent to create jobs (39% Coalition, 38% Labor) and helping those who have lost work due to Covid-19 (38% Coalition, 40% Labor).

Federal Budget expectations

Oct 20, 2020

Q. The Federal Budget was announced on Tuesday 6th October.

In general, do you think the Federal Budget will be good or bad for the following?

  Before budget announced

05/10/2020

  After budget announced

19/10/2020

  NET: Very Good / Good NET: Very bad / Bad   NET: Very Good / Good NET: Very bad / Bad
People who are well off 51% 10%   56% 7%
The economy overall 34% 32%   41% 19%
Average working people 30% 34%   40% 21%
Australian families 33% 29%   41% 18%
People on lower incomes 30% 40%   35% 31%
Older Australians 31% 34%   29% 31%
Younger Australians 29% 33%   42% 20%
You personally 25% 31%   27% 24%
Small business 44% 23%   45% 17%
Big business 53% 12%   55% 6%
  • Following the budget, more people than before thought the announcements would be good for the economy overall (41%, up from 34% before the budget), average working Australians (40% from 30% expectation), and young people (42% from 29%).

Federal Budget: Balance of interests between different groups

Oct 20, 2020

Q. To the best of your knowledge, did the Federal Budget put the interests of each of the groups ahead of the other, or was there a balance?

Men and women Total
This budget puts the interests of men ahead of the interests of women 31%
This budget puts the interests of women ahead of the interests of men 14%
This budget was balanced between women and men 54%
Base (n) 1,082

 

Young people and older people Total
This budget puts the interests of young people ahead of the interests of older people 45%
This budget puts the interests of older people ahead of the interests of young people 21%
This budget was balanced between the young and the old 34%
Base (n) 1,082

 

Employees and businesses Total
This budget puts the interests of employees ahead of the interests of businesses 14%
This budget puts the interests of businesses ahead of the interests of employees 42%
This budget was balanced between businesses and employees 45%
Base (n) 1,082
  • While the majority thought the budget was balanced between the interests of men and women (54%), over twice as many people thought the interests of men were put ahead of women, than women above men (31% to 14%).
  • Most felt the interests of younger Australians were put ahead of older Australians (45%). 34% thought it was balanced and 21% thought the interests of older Australians were prioritised.
  • Most felt the budget was balanced between the interests of businesses and employees (45%), with 42% thinking that business interests were prioritised, and 14% thinking employee interests were prioritised.
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