|
Malcolm Turnbull |
Bill Shorten |
Difference |
||
|
A capable leader |
70% |
36% |
+34 |
|
|
Good in a crisis |
59% |
33% |
+26 |
|
|
Visionary |
51% |
26% |
+25 |
|
|
Intelligent |
81% |
58% |
+23 |
|
|
More honest than most politicians |
39% |
23% |
+16 |
|
|
Understands the problems facing Australia |
63% |
48% |
+15 |
|
|
Trustworthy |
44% |
30% |
+14 |
|
|
Hard-working |
71% |
61% |
+10 |
|
|
Arrogant |
47% |
41% |
+6 |
|
|
Aggressive |
38% |
36% |
+2 |
|
|
Out of touch with ordinary people |
46% |
46% |
– |
|
|
Intolerant |
28% |
33% |
-5 |
|
|
Superficial |
37% |
43% |
-6 |
|
|
Narrow-minded |
30% |
41% |
-11 |
|
|
Erratic |
23% |
39% |
-16 |
Compared to Bill Shorten, Malcolm Turnbull is much more likely to be considered a capable leader (+34%), good in a crisis (+26%), visionary (+25%) and intelligent (+23%).
Bill Shorten is regarded by more respondents to be erratic (-16%) and narrow-minded (-11%).
Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?
|
Total |
Male |
Female |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Jun 2014 |
Feb 2015 |
Aug 2015 |
||||
|
Malcolm Turnbull |
37% |
44% |
30% |
38% |
47% |
41% |
20% |
31% |
24% |
24% |
|||
|
Tony Abbott |
9% |
10% |
8% |
7% |
14% |
1% |
12% |
18% |
11% |
18% |
|||
|
Joe Hockey |
2% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
4% |
1% |
1% |
6% |
5% |
3% |
|||
|
Julie Bishop |
14% |
11% |
17% |
19% |
10% |
18% |
17% |
4% |
21% |
17% |
|||
|
Christopher Pyne |
1% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
– |
<1% |
<1% |
1% |
|||
|
Scott Morrison |
4% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
8% |
1% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
3% |
|||
|
Someone else |
10% |
9% |
11% |
11% |
4% |
16% |
29% |
19% |
13% |
13% |
|||
|
Don’t know |
21% |
17% |
26% |
20% |
12% |
21% |
19% |
21% |
24% |
22% |
37% (up 13% since August) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 14% prefer Julie Bishop (down 3%) and 9% prefer Tony Abbott (down 9%).
Among Liberal/National voters, 47% (up 26%) prefer Malcolm Turnbull, 14% (down 27%) prefer Tony Abbott and 10% (down 7%) Julie Bishop.
Preferences of men were Malcolm Turnbull 44% (+14%), Tony Abbott 10% (-11%) and Julie Bishop 11% (no change). Preferences of women were Malcolm Turnbull 30% (+12%), Julie Bishop 17% (-5%) and Tony Abbott 8% (-7%).
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
||
|
Malcolm Turnbull |
53% |
35% |
84% |
41% |
37% |
|
|
Bill Shorten |
17% |
38% |
2% |
23% |
14% |
|
|
Don’t know |
30% |
27% |
14% |
37% |
49% |
53% of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 17% think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister. Two weeks ago Bill Shorten was preferred over Tony Abbott 35% to 32%.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Malcolm Turnbull replacing Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
||
|
Total approve |
58% |
71% |
59% |
63% |
48% |
|
|
Total disapprove |
24% |
20% |
27% |
19% |
34% |
|
|
Strongly approve |
25% |
32% |
26% |
32% |
17% |
|
|
Approve |
33% |
39% |
33% |
31% |
31% |
|
|
Disapprove |
14% |
12% |
17% |
13% |
10% |
|
|
Strongly disapprove |
10% |
8% |
10% |
6% |
24% |
|
|
Don’t know |
18% |
9% |
14% |
18% |
17% |
58% approve of Malcolm Turnbull replacing Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party and 24% disapprove. 59% of Liberal/National voters approve and 27% disapprove.
Q. Has the re-election of Malcolm Turnbull as leader of the Liberal Party made you more or less likely to support the Liberal National Coalition at the next federal election?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
||
|
Total more likely |
34% |
29% |
48% |
23% |
16% |
|
|
Total less likely |
14% |
16% |
7% |
11% |
30% |
|
|
Much more likely |
15% |
7% |
29% |
4% |
3% |
|
|
A little more likely |
19% |
22% |
19% |
19% |
13% |
|
|
A little less likely |
5% |
5% |
4% |
5% |
8% |
|
|
Much less likely |
9% |
11% |
3% |
6% |
22% |
|
|
Makes no difference |
43% |
50% |
36% |
59% |
42% |
|
|
Don’t know |
11% |
5% |
8% |
6% |
11% |
34% say that the re-election of Malcolm Turnbull as leader of the Liberal Party made them more likely to support the Liberal National Coalition at the next federal election and 14% say it has made them less likely. 43% say it makes no difference.
29% of Labor voters say it has made them more likely and 16% less likely.
Q. Do you expect the Coalition Government will run its full term until later in 2016 when the next Federal election is due or will they call an early election?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
July 2015 |
|||
|
Will run full term |
46% |
43% |
60% |
44% |
42% |
48% |
||
|
Will call early election |
26% |
32% |
22% |
20% |
33% |
25% |
||
|
Don’t know |
28% |
24% |
18% |
36% |
25% |
27% |
46% think the Government will run its full term and 26% think the Government will call an early election. A majority of 60% of Liberal/National voters think the Government will run its full term.
These results have changed little since this question was asked in July.
Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election due in 2016?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Dec 2014 |
Feb 2015 |
Jul 2015 |
|||
|
Labor Party |
27% |
61% |
7% |
30% |
18% |
46% |
49% |
32% |
||
|
Liberal/National Party |
40% |
17% |
75% |
27% |
31% |
27% |
23% |
37% |
||
|
Can’t say |
33% |
22% |
19% |
43% |
51% |
27% |
28% |
30% |
27% think the Labor Party is most likely to win the next election and 40% think the Liberal/National Party is most likely to win. 33% could not give an opinion. This represents a shift toward the Coalition since this question was asked in July.
61% (down 7%) of Labor voters think the Labor Party is most likely to win and 75% (down 5%) of Liberal/National voters think the Liberal/National Party will win.
Q. Which of the following actions on climate change would you most support?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Sep 2014 |
Jul 2015 |
|||
|
Incentives for renewable energy |
45% |
47% |
41% |
60% |
58% |
50% |
45% |
||
|
An emissions trading scheme |
11% |
18% |
7% |
23% |
2% |
12% |
14% |
||
|
The Government’s direct action policy |
10% |
9% |
12% |
6% |
8% |
10% |
10% |
||
|
No action required |
12% |
7% |
19% |
1% |
15% |
11% |
11% |
||
|
Don’t know |
22% |
18% |
21% |
10% |
16% |
17% |
20% |
In taking action on climate change, 45% most support incentives for renewable energy, 11% most support an emissions trading scheme and 10% most support the Government‘s direct action policy – while 12% say no action is required. This represents little change since this question was asked in July.
All groups are most likely to support incentives for renewable energy.