Essential Report

Next election

Sep 22, 2015

Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election due in 2016?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Dec 2014

Feb 2015

Jul 2015

Labor Party

27%

61%

7%

30%

18%

46%

49%

32%

Liberal/National Party

40%

17%

75%

27%

31%

27%

23%

37%

Can’t say

33%

22%

19%

43%

51%

27%

28%

30%

27% think the Labor Party is most likely to win the next election and 40% think the Liberal/National Party is most likely to win. 33% could not give an opinion. This represents a shift toward the Coalition since this question was asked in July.

61% (down 7%) of Labor voters think the Labor Party is most likely to win and 75% (down 5%) of Liberal/National voters think the Liberal/National Party will win.

COVID-19 RESEARCH

Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.