The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

Next election

22 Sep 2015

Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election due in 2016?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Dec 2014

Feb 2015

Jul 2015

Labor Party

27%

61%

7%

30%

18%

46%

49%

32%

Liberal/National Party

40%

17%

75%

27%

31%

27%

23%

37%

Can’t say

33%

22%

19%

43%

51%

27%

28%

30%

27% think the Labor Party is most likely to win the next election and 40% think the Liberal/National Party is most likely to win. 33% could not give an opinion. This represents a shift toward the Coalition since this question was asked in July.

61% (down 7%) of Labor voters think the Labor Party is most likely to win and 75% (down 5%) of Liberal/National voters think the Liberal/National Party will win.

Error: