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  • May, 2017

    Trust in Parties

    Q. Which party do you most trust to properly fund the following:

      Labor Coalition Don’t know
    Medicare 44% 26% 29%
    National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) 36% 28% 36%
    Universities 41% 25% 34%
    The age pension 45% 22% 33%
    Public schools 45% 25% 30%
    Independent/private schools 20% 44% 36%

    Labor was more trusted to fund Medicare (44% trust), the NDIS (36%), universities (41%), the age pension (45%) and public schools (45%). The Coalition was more trusted to fund independent/private schools (44%).

    36% did not know who they would trust more to properly fund the NDIS.

  • May, 2017

    Budget Response

    • ALP leader Bill Shorten announced a number of policy measures in response to last week’s federal budget. Do you approve or disapprove of these measures?
      Total approve Total disapprove   Strongly approve Approve Neither approve nor disapprove Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
    Create a $100m fund to invest in TAFE campuses 57% 10%   19% 38% 24% 6% 4% 10%  
    Restrict the Medicare levy increase to taxpayers earning more than $87k per year, rather than all taxpayers 55% 21%   22% 33% 15% 12% 9% 10%  
    Require at least one in ten people employed on every government infrastructure project to be an apprentice 55% 9%   17% 38% 24% 6% 3% 12%  
    Continue the ‘deficit levy’ on earnings above $180k per year 54% 10%   21% 33% 18% 6% 4% 18%  
    Oppose a cut to the company tax rate, which is expected to cost $65bn over ten years. 41% 23%   20% 21% 21% 14% 9% 16%  

    The most popular measure was the $100m TAFE fund, which was supported by 57%. Support for this proposal was strongest amongst Labor voters (69% approve) and those aged 45-64 (63%).

    The least popular measure was opposing the Coalition’s company tax cut, thought this still received 41% approval, and only 23% disapproval. Liberal/National voters were the only group in which more people disapproved (36%) than approved (25%) of this measure.

  • May, 2017

    Bank Levy

    Q. Last week’s Federal Budget contained a levy on the big banks, which is forecast to raise $6.2bn from Australia’s five largest banks over the next four years. What do you think is most likely to happen as a result of this levy?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Banks will pass on the cost of the levy to customers through higher fees, charges and interest rates 78%   85% 72% 83% 90%
    Banks will not increase fees, charges and interest rate, and will pay the cost of the levy out of their own profits 7%   4% 12% 6% 3%
    Don’t know 15%   11% 16% 11% 7%

     

    78% thought that the banks would pass the cost of the levy onto their customers. The most likely to think this were other party/independent voters (90%), those aged 65+ (89%) and Labor voters (85%).

    Only 7% thought that the banks would not increase their fees, and would pay the levy from their own profits. The most likely to think that this would happen were Liberal/National voters (12%) and those aged 25-34 (10%).

  • May, 2017

    Deficit Levy

    Q. Last week’s Federal Budget contained the removal of the “deficit levy” of 2% of earnings above $180k per year. This would lower the top tax bracket from 49% to 47%. Do you approve of this measure?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Total approve 24%   19% 36% 13% 24%
    Total disapprove 39%   46% 26% 53% 47%
    Strongly approve 6%   3% 10% 5% 10%
    Approve 18%   16% 26% 8% 14%
    Neither approve nor disapprove 21%   21% 26% 12% 17%
    Disapprove 21%   22% 19% 26% 21%
    Strongly disapprove 18%   24% 7% 27% 26%
    Don’t know 17%   14% 12% 23% 12%

     

    39% disapprove of the measure to remove the deficit levy, and only 24% approved. Those most likely to disapprove of the measure were Greens voters (53% disapprove), those aged 65+ (49%), and West Australians (48%). Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (37% approve) and those earning over $104k per year (29%).

  • May, 2017

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week 9/5/17 2 weeks ago 2/5/17 4 weeks ago 18/4/17   Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 34%   35% 35% 33%    
    National 3%   2% 2% 3%    
    Total Liberal/National 37%   37% 38% 36%   42.0%
    Labor 38%   38% 37% 37%   34.7%
    Greens 10%   10% 9% 10%   10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   6% 7% 8%    
    Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 7%   13.1%
    2 party preferred              
    Liberal National 46%   46% 47% 46%   50.4%
    Labor 54%   54% 53% 54%   49.6%

     

    1. Sample = 1,796. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
  • May, 2017

    Federal Budget

    Q. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Budget that was handed down on Tuesday 9th May?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Total Approve 41%   32% 66% 33% 31%
    Total Disapprove 33%   45% 16% 39% 50%
    Strongly approve 5%   2% 11% 4% 2%
    Approve 36%   30% 55% 29% 29%
    Disapprove 23%   30% 13% 31% 30%
    Strongly disapprove 10%   15% 3% 8% 20%
    Don’t know 25%   23% 19% 29% 18%

     

    Overall, more people approved of the budget (41%) than disapproved (33%). Approval for the budget was highest among Liberal/National voters (66% support) and those aged 65+ (57%). Disapproval was highest amongst other party/independent voters (50% disapprove) and ALP voters (45%).

  • May, 2017

    Confidence in Economy

    Q. Does this budget make you feel more confident or less confident in the Government’s ability to manage the economy?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other  
    Total more confident 27%   18% 48% 20% 17%  
    Total less confident 29%   38% 12% 33% 44%  
    A lot more confident 5%   3% 9% 4% 3%  
    A little more confident 22%   15% 39% 16% 14%  
    Makes no difference 33%   34% 33% 35% 35%  
    A little less confident 15%   18% 9% 18% 20%  
    A lot less confident 14%   20% 3% 15% 24%  
    Don’t know 12%   10% 8% 11% 4%  

    More people said that the budget made them less confident in the Government’s ability to manage the economy (29%) than said that it made them more confident (27%), although 33% said that it made no difference.

    Those most likely to say that the budget made them more confident were Liberal/National voters (48%) and those aged over 65 (40%).

    Those most likely to say that the budget made them less confident were other part/independent voters (44%), ALP voters (38%) and those aged 45-54 (36%).

  • May, 2017

    Budget Measures

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the following measures contained in the budget?

      Total approve Total disapprove   Strongly Approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
    A levy on vacant properties owned by foreign investors 82% 7%   51% 31% 5% 2% 11%
    Payment reductions for jobseekers who fail to attend Centrelink appointments 76% 14%   43% 33% 9% 5% 9%
    A levy on businesses who hire foreign workers on permanent and temporary work visas 71% 16%   35% 36% 12% 4% 14%
    A one-off cash payment for single parents and pensioners to compensate for increased energy prices 69% 19%   27% 42% 14% 5% 12%
    A trial of drug testing for jobseekers receiving unemployment benefits 69% 22%   42% 27% 13% 9% 9%
    A levy on big banks which will raise $6.2bn over four years 66% 19%   38% 28% 12% 7% 14%
    Building a second airport in Sydney at Badgerys Creek 54% 18%   15% 39% 13% 5% 28%
    A 0.5% increase to the Medicare levy to fund the National Disability Insurance Scheme 49% 39%   15% 34% 22% 17% 13%

    All but one measure, the increase to the Medicare levy to fund the NDIS, received majority approval.

    The most popular measure was a levy of vacant properties owned by foreign investors (82% approve). Support for this measure was highest among those aged 65+ (94% approve), and lowest among those aged 18-24 (63%).

    The least popular measure was the Medicare levy to fund the NDIS, although this still received 49% approval, and only 39% disapproval. Support for this measure was highest among Greens voters (68% approve) and Liberal/National voters (59%), and was lowest among those aged 35-44 (34% disapprove) and ALP voters (42%).

    While 54% supported the Badgerys Creek airport, 67% of those living in NSW, where the airport would be located, supported the measure.

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