Essential Report

Will Australia ever become a Republic

Feb 2, 2016

Q. Do you think that Australia is likely or unlikely to ever become a republic?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Support republic

Oppose republic

Jun 2012

Apr 2014

Total likely

56%

59%

60%

60%

60%

82%

43%

52%

46%

Total unlikely

24%

22%

28%

21%

26%

14%

41%

34%

37%

Very likely

19%

21%

21%

21%

17%

41%

8%

12%

12%

Somewhat likely

37%

38%

39%

39%

43%

41%

35%

40%

34%

Somewhat unlikely

17%

15%

21%

15%

15%

11%

27%

25%

25%

Very unlikely

7%

7%

7%

6%

11%

3%

14%

9%

12%

Don’t know

19%

18%

12%

17%

15%

4%

16%

15%

16%

56% (up 10% since April 2014) of Australians believe it is likely that Australia will one day become a republic. Just 24% (down 13%) think it is unlikely. There was little difference in opinion across voter groups.

65% of males, compared to 49% of females believe it is likely that Australia will one day become a republic.
82% of those who support the republic and 43% of those opposed think it is likely.

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