Essential Report

Party expect to win election

Jul 1, 2016

Q. Which party do you expect will win the Federal election?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Last week
Liberal National Coalition 48%   19% 84% 35% 38%   39%
Labor Party 21%   52% 3% 16% 11%   24%
Neither – there will be a hung Parliament 15%   13% 5% 38% 35%   16%
Don’t know 17%   16% 8% 12% 16%   21%

48% think that the Coalition will win the election, 21% think the Labor Party will win and 15% think there will be a hung Parliament.

84% of Liberal National voters think the Coalition will win and 52% of Labor voters think the Labor Party will win.

38% of Greens voters and 35% of other voters think there will be a hung Parliament.

There has been a significant shift to the Coalition winning over the last week.

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