Search results for "climate"
Oct 1, 2013
Essential Research

Climate change

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

30 May 11

14 Jun

15 Oct 12

 29 Jan 13

27 May

 

Total

1 Oct

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

53%

45%

52%

50%

48%

51%

51%

52%

67%

36%

82%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

34%

36%

36%

39%

39%

40%

35%

36%

22%

51%

10%

Don’t know

13%

19%

12%

12%

13%

9%

14%

12%

10%

12%

8%

52% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 36% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is a similar result to when this question was previously asked in May.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 61%/25% and those aged 55+ split 42%/48%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 64%/27%.

Oct 1, 2013
Essential Research

Climate change policies

Q. The new Liberal Government plans to dump the carbon tax and replace it with what they call a “direct action” plan which involves planting trees and paying companies to reduce their carbon pollution. Which approach to climate change would you favour?

 

27 May 13

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

The current tax on the largest polluting companies to encourage them to reduce carbon pollution

39%

31%

57%

9%

62%

The Liberal’s policy to plant trees and pay companies to reduce carbon pollution

29%

35%

13%

57%

9%

Neither

18%

16%

14%

18%

6%

Don’t know

14%

17%

16%

16%

22%

31% favour the previous Government’s policy on addressing climate change and 35% favour the Liberal Government’s “direct action” plan. 16% do not support either approach. This is a significant shift in favour of the Liberal’s plan.

The previous Government’s approach had strongest support from Labor voters (57%), Greens voters (62%) and people with university degrees (37%).

The Liberal Government’s plan had strongest support from Liberal/National voters (57%) and people aged 55+ (44%).

May 27, 2013
Essential Research

Climate change

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

30 May 11

14 Jun

15
Oct
12

 29 Jan 13

Total
27
May

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

53%

45%

52%

50%

48%

51%

51%

68%

38%

83%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

34%

36%

36%

39%

39%

40%

35%

23%

50%

10%

Don’t know

13%

19%

12%

12%

13%

9%

14%

9%

12%

8%

51% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 35% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is a five point decline in those thinking it is just a fluctuation in the earth’s climate since this question was previously asked in January.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 60%/22% and those aged 55+ split 42%/49%. People on higher incomes were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those earning under $600pw split 42%/44% while those earning over $1,600pw split 54%/34%.

May 27, 2013
Essential Research

Climate change policies

Q. If they win the election the Liberal Party plans to dump the carbon tax and replace it with what they call a “direct action” plan which involves planting trees and paying companies to reduce their carbon pollution. Which approach to climate change would you favour?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

The Government’s tax on the largest polluting companies to encourage them to reduce carbon pollution

39%

67%

20%

63%

The Liberal’s policy to plant trees and pay companies to reduce carbon pollution

29%

9%

49%

15%

Neither

18%

11%

23%

14%

Don’t know

14%

13%

8%

8%

39% favour the Government’s policy on addressing climate change and 29% favour the Liberal Party’s “direct action” plan. 18% do not support either approach.

The Government’s approach had strongest support from Labor voters (67%), Greens voters (63%) and people aged under 35 (44%).

The Liberal Party’s plan had strongest support from Liberal/National voters (49%) and people aged 65+ (45%).

Jan 29, 2013
Essential Research

Climate change

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

30 May 11

14 Jun 11

15 Oct 12

Total 29 Jan 13

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

53%

45%

52%

50%

48%

51%

67%

34%

79%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

34%

36%

36%

39%

39%

40%

27%

58%

14%

Don’t know

13%

19%

12%

12%

13%

9%

6%

8%

7%

51% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 40% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is little changed since this question was previously asked in October last year.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 62%/29% and those aged 55+ split 38%/57%. People on higher incomes were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those earning under $1,000pw split 46%/47% while those earning over $1,000pw split 56%/38%.

Oct 15, 2012
Essential Research

Position on Climate Change

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

30 May 11

14 Jun 11

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

53%

45%

52%

50%

48%

67%

30%

83%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

34%

36%

36%

39%

39%

24%

58%

10%

Don’t know

13%

19%

12%

12%

13%

9%

13%

8%

48% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 39% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is little changed since this question was previously asked in June last year.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 57%/27% and those aged 55+ split 37%/55%.

Mar 12, 2012
Essential Research

Creating a Climate for Change on Carbon

It’s only months until a price on carbon takes affect so here are some clues from the polling to help Labor though the difficult times ahead.


Mar 5, 2012
Essential Research

Creating a Climate for Change on Carbon

All this fighting and cussing in Canberra has at least silenced the elephant in the Lodge, that $28 per tonne price on carbon.

It seems weeks since Tony Abbott strapped on a reflective vest and imposed himself on a Queanbeyan lunch room, but it’s only months until the price takes affect.

At this point one of two things happens – the sky falls in and Abbott blames the carbon tax or the sky doesn’t fall in and Abbott blames the carbon tax.

So as Julia Gillard prepares to strap on the safety helmet and assume (resume?) the position, here are a few clues from the polling to help her though the difficult times ahead.

1. Never again call the Carbon Price a Tax – It’s not and your concession that a price on carbon as part of the transition to an Emissions Trading Scheme was one of the most spectacular own goals in recent political history. Language does matter.

2. Take it Back to the Science – our polling shows that the biggest single determinant on supporting action on climate change is not party affiliation, age or gender but belief in the reality of climate change. The ability of the denial movement to cloud the science on climate change was decisive. Once the facts were clouded science never really had a chance, being a discipline based on scepticism as it is. Giving science a voice and then finding a forum to spread its word may be too important to trust to the media.

3. Tell the whole Story – support for a carbon price shifts from majority opposition to majority support if the question changes from support for a price on carbon, to include the compensation and investment in renewables that are part of the package. Getting the airtime to get the whole sentence out is vital to selling the measure.

4. Focus on the Car not the Carburettor – the great myth about the carbon price is that the public went from supporters to opponents in one fell swoop of Abbott vitriol. The reality is that the decline in support was first based on confusion as the Rudd-Wong dream team (and we’re talking sleep here) got obsessed with the detail of the CPRS. After 12 months of technical debate most had lost interest and drifted into indifference and confusion. From there they were easy pickings for a scare campaign.

5. Remember the best response to a scare campaign is a scare campaign – Running the high road of caring about future generations will never trump fear and loathing. Better point out as the most carbon-exposed economy in the developed world there are huge economic dangers if we sit back and wait for others to act. Get the markets scared, there is nothing rational about denial.

6. Remember this is the great moral challenge of our times – on this K Rudd was K Rect; it was the backflip that killed him. Dealing with the challenges of climate change is why we entrust our nations to governments – we expert them to make tough decisions in our long-term interests, even if we don’t always like the medicine.

7. And finally, stop pretending you didn’t do something that was brave and right – Like taxing our natural resources, building a national broadband network and giving the disabled a better deal. These are the anchor points of a Labor Government to be proud of. If only it would let us.

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