Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election due in 2016?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Dec 2014 | Feb 2015 | |||
| Labor Party | 32% | 68% | 6% | 41% | 26% | 46% | 49% | ||
| Liberal/National Party | 37% | 12% | 80% | 12% | 24% | 27% | 23% | ||
| Can’t say | 30% | 20% | 14% | 47% | 49% | 27% | 28% |
32% think the Labor Party is most likely to win the next election and 37% think the Liberal/National Party is most likely to win. 30% could not give an opinion. This represents a substantial shift toward the Coalition since this question was asked in February.
68% (down 19%) of Labor voters think the Labor Party is most likely to win and 80% (up 23%) of Liberal/National voters think the Liberal/National Party will win.