Essential Report

Next election

Jul 14, 2015

Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election due in 2016? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2014 Feb 2015
Labor Party 32% 68% 6% 41% 26% 46% 49%
Liberal/National Party 37% 12% 80% 12% 24% 27% 23%
Can’t say 30% 20% 14% 47% 49% 27% 28%

32% think the Labor Party is most likely to win the next election and 37% think the Liberal/National Party is most likely to win. 30% could not give an opinion. This represents a substantial shift toward the Coalition since this question was asked in February.

68% (down 19%) of Labor voters think the Labor Party is most likely to win and 80% (up 23%) of Liberal/National voters think the Liberal/National Party will win.

COVID-19 RESEARCH

Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.