Essential Report

New Election – Likely Winner

Sep 6, 2010

Q. And if Australia had another Federal election in the next 12 months, which party do you expect would win that election?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Labor 35% 76% 2% 48%
Liberal/National 39% 4% 83% 11%
Don’t know 25% 20% 15% 41%

Expectations about which party would win another election are divided – and closely follow party preferences. 39% think the Coalition would win and 35% think Labor would win.

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