Essential Report

Likelihood of voting

Sep 5, 2017

Q. How likely are you to vote in the national postal vote on same-sex marriage?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
Will definitely vote 62%   68% 59% 74% 68%   58% 66% 58% 58% 72%   74% 58%
Will probably vote 16%   15% 22% 17% 15%   19% 14% 18% 16% 14%   17% 14%
Will probably not vote 4%   4% 6% 1% 4%   6% 2% 5% 5% 2%   2% 8%
Will definitely not vote 3%   4% 2% 3% 1%   3% 3% 4% 4% 3%   <1% 9%
Not sure 10%   7% 10% 5% 7%   9% 10% 9% 12% 7%   4% 6%
I am not enrolled to vote at my current address 4%   1% 1% 5%   4% 5% 7% 5% 2%   4% 5%

 

62% (down 1% from 2 weeks ago) say they will definitely vote in the same-sex marriage national vote and 16% (down 2%) will probably vote.

Those most likely to definitely vote are Greens voters (74%), women (66%) and aged 55+ (72%).

74% of those in favour of same-sex marriage will definitely vote compared to 58% of those opposed. (Note: these figures are identical to 2 weeks ago)

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