Essential Report

Likelihood of new election

Jul 12, 2016

Q. How likely is it that Australia will need to have another Federal election within the next 12 months?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total likely 51%   60% 50% 46% 53%
Total not likely 28%   21% 36% 28% 29%
Very likely 17% 20% 17% 12% 19%
Quite likely 34% 40% 33% 34% 34%
Not very likely 20% 17% 26% 23% 16%
Not at all likely 8% 4% 10% 5% 13%
Don’t know 21% 19% 14% 26% 18%

 51% think that it is likely Australia will have another Federal election within the next 12 months and 28% think it is not likely.

60% of Labor voters and 50% of Liberal/National voters think it is likely.

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