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Intended vote in same sex marriage survey

4 Oct 2017

Q. The question in the national postal vote on same-sex marriage is “Should the law be changed to allow same-sex couples to marry? Do you intend to vote yes or no? (Based on those who have not yet voted)

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Should be allowed to marry Should not be allowed to marry   Will

def-initely vote

Will prob-ably vote Will not vote
Intend to vote yes 50%   66% 41% 55% 36%   88% 3%   61% 57% 16%
Intend to vote no 36%   24% 46% 30% 42%   5% 93%   37% 34% 44%
Don’t know 14%   10% 12% 16% 22%   7% 4%   2% 10% 40%

 

  Total   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Attend church at least once a month Attend church less often Never attend church
Intend to vote yes 50%   46% 55% 58% 49% 38%   40% 44% 61%
Intend to vote no 36%   40% 30% 28% 36% 48%   51% 42% 20%
Don’t know 14%   14% 15% 14% 15% 14%   9% 13% 19%

 

Of those yet to vote, 50% say they will vote yes and 36% no. However, of those who will definitely vote, 61% will vote yes and 37% no.

Those most likely to vote yes are Labor voters (66%), aged 18-34 (58%) and women (55%).

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