Essential Report

Federal voting intention

Dec 13, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

6/12/16

2 weeks ago

29/11/16

4 weeks ago

15/11/16

  Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   35% 36% 34%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   38% 39% 37%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 9%   9% 9% 11%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   8% 7% 6%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 47%   48% 49% 47%   50.4%
Labor 53%   52% 51% 53%   49.6%

NB. Sample = 1,796 The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

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