Essential Report

Federal voting intention

Oct 11, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

4/10/16

2 weeks ago

27/9/16

4 weeks ago

13/9/16

  Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 34% 36% 36% 35%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 38%   40% 39% 38%   42.0%
Labor 36%   36% 36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10% 8% 9% 10% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3% 3% 3% 4%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6% 6% 6% 5%
Other/Independent 7% 7% 7% 7% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 48%   49% 48% 48% 50.4%
Labor 52%   51% 52% 52% 49.6%

NB. Sample = 1,769. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

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