Essential Report

Federal voting intention

Sep 27, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

20/9/16

2 weeks ago

13/9/16

4 weeks ago

30/8/16

  Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 36%   34% 35% 37%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 39%   37% 38% 40%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 37% 36%   34.7%
Greens 9%   10% 10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   4% 4% 4%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   6% 5%      
Other/Independent 7%   7% 7% 10%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   48% 48% 49%   50.4%
Labor 52%   52% 52% 51%   49.6%

N.B. Sample = 1,800. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

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