Essential Report

Federal voting intention

Aug 9, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

2/8/16

2 weeks ago

26/7/16

4 weeks ago

12/7/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 37%   36% 35% 37%    
National 2%   3% 4% 4%    
Total Liberal/National 40%   39% 39% 41%   45.6%
Labor 37%   37% 37% 36%   33.4%
Greens 10%   10% 10% 10%   8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 4%   4% 4% 3%  
Other/Independent 10%   10% 11% 10%   12.4%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   48% 48% 49%   53.5%
Labor 52%   52% 52% 51%   46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,795. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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