Essential Report

Federal voting intention

Jul 19, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

12/7/16

2 weeks ago

5/7/16

4 weeks ago

21/6/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 35%   37% 38% 37%    
National 4%   4% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 39%   41% 41% 40%   45.6%
Labor 36%   36% 37% 37%   33.4%
Greens 10%   10% 10% 10%   8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 4%   3% 2% 4%  
Other/Independent 10%   10% 10% 9%   12.4%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 49%   49% 50% 49%   53.5%
Labor 51%   51% 50% 51%   46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,833. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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