Essential Report

Federal voting intention

Jul 5, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

28/6/16

2 weeks ago

21/6/16

4 weeks ago

7/6/16

  Election  7 Sep 13
Liberal 38% 37% 37% 37%
National 3% 3% 3% 4%
Total Liberal/National 41%   39% 40% 41%   45.6%
Labor 37%   37% 37% 36%   33.4%
Greens 10% 10% 10% 10% 8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 2% 4% 4% 4%
Other/Independent 10% 10% 9% 10% 12.4%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 50% 49% 49% 50% 53.5%
Labor 50% 51% 51% 50% 46.5%

Sample = 1,723. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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