Essential Report

Federal voting intention

Jul 1, 2016

Q. If yet to vote – To which party will you probably give your first preference vote in the Federal election being held this Saturday? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

If already voted – Which party did you give your first preference to?

  Total Have voted Have not voted   Last week

28/6/16

2 weeks ago

21/6/16

4 weeks ago

7/6/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal/LNP 39.5% 41% 39%   37% 37% 37%    
National 3% 5% 2%   3% 3% 4%    
Total Liberal/National 42.5% 45% 41%   39% 40% 41%   45.6%
Labor 34.5% 33% 35%   37% 37% 36%   33.4%
Greens 11.5% 10% 12%   10% 10% 10%   8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 1.5% 2% 1%   4% 4% 4%  
Other/Independent 10.5% 10% 11%   10% 9% 10%   12.4%
2 party preferred                  
Liberal National 50.5% 54% 49%   49% 49% 50%   53.5%
Labor 49.5% 46% 51%   51% 51% 50%   46.5%

NB: Respondents who selected ‘don’t know’ or who were not enrolled to vote are not included in the results. Total percentages have been rounded to the nearest half per cent. The two-party preferred estimate has been calculated by distributing the votes of other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. Nick Xenophon Team was only included for SA respondents. 22% of enrolled respondents said they had already voted.

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