Essential Report

Federal voting intention

May 31, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

24/5/16

2 weeks ago

17/5/16

4 weeks ago

3/5/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 38%   38% 39% 37%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 41%   41% 42% 40%   45.6%
Labor 35%   37% 38% 38%   33.4%
Greens 9%   9% 9% 10%   8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 4%   3% 3% na  
Other/Independent 10%   9% 8% 10%   12.4%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 51%   49% 49% 48%   53.5%
Labor 49%   51% 51% 52%   46.5%

NB: Sample = 1,767. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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