Essential Report

Federal voting intention

May 17, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

10/5/16

2 weeks ago

3/5/16

4 weeks ago

19/4/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 39%   38% 37% 38%    
National 3%   4% 3% 4%    
Total Liberal/National 42%   42% 40% 42%   45.6%
Labor 38%   38% 38% 36%   33.4%
Greens 9%   10% 10% 11%   8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   na na na  
Palmer United Party na   1% 1% 1%   5.5%
Other/Independent 8%   9% 10% 10%   6.9%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 49%   49% 48% 50%   53.5%
Labor 51%   51% 52% 50%   46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,787. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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