Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 16, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,792 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/11/14

2 weeks ago

2/12/14

Last week

9/12/14

This week

16/12/14

Liberal

 

37%

37%

35%

35%

National

3%

3%

4%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

3%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

10%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/11/14

2 weeks ago

2/12/14

Last week

9/12/14

This week

16/12/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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