Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1909  respondents

First preference/leaning to	Election 21 Aug 10	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Liberal		46%	46%	45%	45%
National		3%	3%	3%	3%
Total Lib/Nat	43.6%	49%	49%	48%	48%
Labor	38.0%	32%	32%	33%	33%
Greens	11.8%	10%	12%	11%	10%
Other/Independent	6.6%	10%	8%	9%	9%

2PP	Election 21 Aug 10	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Total Lib/Nat	49.9%	56%	56%	55%	55%
Labor	50.1%	44%	44%	45%	45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.