Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size =  1874 respondents

First preference/leaning to	Election 21 Aug 10	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Liberal		46%	46%	46%	46%
National		4%	3%	3%	3%
Total Lib/Nat	43.6	50%	49%	49%	49%
Labor	38.0	32%	30%	32%	32%
Greens	11.8	10%	11%	10%	10%
Other/Independent	6.6	8%	10%	10%	9%

2PP	Election 21 Aug 10	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Total Lib/Nat	49.9%	56%	57%	56%	56%
Labor	50.1%	44%	43%	44%	44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.