Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 15, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 2,023

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 46% 46% 47% 46%
National 3% 3% 3% 4%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 49% 49% 50% 50%
Labor 38.0 31% 31% 30% 31%
Greens 11.8 11% 11% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 9% 9% 10% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 56% 56% 57% 57%
Labor 50.1% 44% 44% 43% 43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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