Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,921

First preference/leaning to	Election 21 Aug 10	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Liberal		43%	44%	44%	44%
National		3%	3%	2%	3%
Total Lib/Nat	43.6	46%	47%	46%	46%
Labor	38.0	36%	34%	34%	34%
Greens	11.8	11%	12%	12%	12%
Other/Independent	6.6	7%	8%	8%	8%

2PP	Election 21 Aug 10	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Total Lib/Nat	49.9%	52%	54%	53%	54%
Labor	50.1%	48%	46%	47%	46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.