Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

1,875 sample size

First preference/leaning to	6 months ago	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Liberal	35%	37%	36%	36%	37%
National	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%
Total Lib/Nat	38%	40%	39%	38%	39%
Labor	45%	38%	42%	41%	41%
Greens	8%	11%	11%	13%	13%
Family First	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%
Other/Independent	7%	8%	6%	6%	5%

 

2PP	6 months ago	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Total Lib/Nat	44%	48%	46%	45%	45%
Labor	56%	52%	54%	55%	55%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.