Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 19, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

1,875 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 35% 37% 36% 36% 37%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 38% 40% 39% 38% 39%
Labor 45% 38% 42% 41% 41%
Greens 8% 11% 11% 13% 13%
Family First 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 8% 6% 6% 5%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 44% 48% 46% 45% 45%
Labor 56% 52% 54% 55% 55%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.  

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