Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 21, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,913

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 42% 43% 41% 40%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 46% 44% 43%
Labor 38.0 37% 38% 40% 39%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 6% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 51% 50% 49%
Labor 50.1% 49% 49% 50% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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