Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 24, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,896

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

Last week This week
Liberal 43% 42%
National 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45%
Labor 38.0 38% 37%
Greens 11.8 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51%
Labor 50.1% 48% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.


Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.