Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 13, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to

sample size = 1,924

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 38% 42% 41% 42% 43%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 41% 45% 44% 45% 46%
Labor 35% 39% 38% 38% 37%
Greens 14% 10% 11% 11% 10%
Other/Independent 10% 7% 7% 6% 7%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

 

This week
Total Lib/Nat 49% 51% 51% 51% 52%
Labor 51% 49% 49% 49% 48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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