Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 8, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,783

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 39% 42% 41% 41% 42%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 4%
Total Lib/Nat 42% 44% 44% 44% 46%
Labor 37% 41% 41% 41% 39%
Greens 11% 8% 8% 8% 8%
Other/Independent 10% 7% 7% 7% 7%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

 

This week
Total Lib/Nat 50% 49% 50% 50% 51%
Labor 50% 51% 50% 50% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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