Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 11, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1,912 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 37% 41% 40% 42% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 44% 43% 44% 44%
Labor 41% 39% 42% 42% 41%
Greens 11% 10% 9% 8% 8%
Other/Independent 8% 6% 6% 7% 7%

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 46% 50% 49% 49% 49%
Labor 54% 50% 51% 51% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

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