Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 4, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1921 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 36% 40% 42% 40% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 45% 43% 44%
Labor 43% 39% 40% 42% 42%
Greens 10% 11% 9% 9% 8%
Other/Independent 8% 7% 6% 6% 8%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 50% 49% 49%
Labor 54% 51% 50% 51% 51%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

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