Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1910 sample size

First preference/leaning to	6 months ago	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Liberal	36%	41%	41%	42%	40%
National	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%
Total Lib/Nat	39%	44%	44%	45%	43%
Labor	43%	38%	39%	40%	42%
Greens	9%	11%	10%	9%	9%
Other/Independent	9%	7%	7%	6%	6%

2PP	6 months ago	4 weeks ago	2 weeks ago	Last week	This week
Total Lib/Nat	46%	50%	50%	50%	49%
Labor	54%	50%	50%	50%	51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.