Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 31, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

2246 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Liberal 37% 37% 41% 42% 41%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 39% 44% 45% 44%
Labor 42% 40% 39% 38% 38%
Greens 9% 13% 10% 11% 11%
Family First 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 5% 5% 4% 5%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Total Lib/Nat 47% 46% 49% 50% 50%
Labor 53% 54% 51% 50% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

* These results do not include the special ER pre-election poll.

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