Expected Winner

Q. Which party do you expect will win the 2019 Federal election and form Government?

	Total	Vote Labor	Vote Liberal / National	Vote Greens	NET: Vote Other	Last week 06/05/19	Two weeks ago 29/04/19
Labor	59%	92%	29%	75%	55%	54%	59%
Liberal/National	41%	8%	71%	25%	45%	46%	41%

• Heading into the final week of campaigning, 59% of voters believe Labor will triumph over the Liberal/National coalition in the 2019 Federal election, up 5%pts from last week from 54% and equivalent to the start of the campaign at the end of April.
• 92% of Labor voters are confident that Labor will win on Saturday. Similarly, the majority of Greens voters (75%) and those voting for independents or minor parties (55%) expect a Labor victory.
• Voters for the Coalition expect them to form the next Government following the result on Saturday (71%). This has decreased from 79% last week.