Essential Report

Expected Winner

May 7, 2019

Q. Which party do you expect will win the 2019 Federal election and form Government?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal / National Vote Greens NET: Vote Other Last Week
Labor 54% 90% 21% 68% 47% 59%
Liberal/National 46% 10% 79% 32% 53% 41%
  • 54% of voters believe Labor will be victorious over the Liberal/National coalition in the 2019 Federal election, down 5%pts from last week from 59%.
  • Expectations among supporters of the Labor party of a Labor win have dropped from 95% last week to 90% this week.
  • The majority of Coalition voters (79%, up from 74%) and those intending to vote for another party/independent candidate (53%, no change) expect the Coalition to form Government following the election.


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