Essential Report

Early election

Oct 18, 2016

Q. Do you expect the Coalition Government will run its full term until 2019 when the next Federal election is due or do you think there will be an early election?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2016
Will run full term 35%   23% 59% 19% 25%   35%
Will be an early election 39%   49% 27% 58% 51%   38%
Don’t know 26%   28% 14% 23% 24%   27%

35% think that the Coalition Government will run its full term and 39% think there will be an early election. These results have not changed significantly since September 2016.

59% of Lib/Nat voters believe the Coalition Government will run its full term (up from 50% in September).

49% of Labor voters (down from 52% in September) and 58% of Greens voters (up from 43% in September) think there will be an early election.

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