Changing Leaders – Likelihood of Voting Labor

Q. Does having Julia Gillard as Prime Minister make you more or less likely to vote for the Labor Party?

	Total	Vote Labor	Vote Lib/Nat	Vote Greens
Total more likely	26%	44%	11%	31%
Total less likely	24%	11%	38%	22%
Much more likely	10%	24%	1%	5%
A bit more likely	16%	20%	10%	26%
A bit less likely	8%	8%	6%	12%
Much less likely	16%	3%	32%	10%
Makes no difference	41%	40%	47%	40%
Don’t know	8%	5%	3%	7%

Sample = 818

In aggregate, the results indicate the change will have little impact on voting intentions. 41% say it makes no difference to their vote, 26% say they are more likely to vote Labor and 24% less likely. Among Labor voters 44% say they are more likely to vote Labor and 11% less likely.

Greens voters were overall a little more positive about voting Labor – 31% more likely and 22% less likely.