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Federal politics – voting intention

20 Sep 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

2,073 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week


Liberal 35% 41% 40% 41% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 38% 45% 43% 44% 45%
Labor 45% 40% 39% 39% 40%
Greens 9% 10% 11% 10% 9%
Other/Independent 8% 5% 7% 7% 6%


2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 44% 50% 49% 50% 50%
Labor 56% 50% 51% 50% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.



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