The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

Federal politics – voting intention

19 Aug 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,838 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 22/7/14

2 weeks ago

5/8/14

Last week

12/8/14

This week

19/8/14

Liberal

 

37%

39%

38%

37%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

41%

41%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

4%

5%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 15/7/14

2 weeks ago

29/7/14

Last week

5/8/14

This week

12/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

49%

49%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

51%

51%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Error: