Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,873
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 36% | 40% | 42% | 42% | 41% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 43% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Labor | 42% | 42% | 41% | 40% | 41% |
| Greens | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
| Other/Independent | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 46% | 49% | 49% | 50% | 50% |
| Labor | 54% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.