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Federal voting intention

18 Oct 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

11/10/16

2 weeks ago

4/10/16

4 weeks ago

20/9/16

  Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   34% 36% 34%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   38% 40% 37%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 11%   10% 8% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 4%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 5%   6% 6% 6%    
Other/Independent 6%   7% 7% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 47%   48% 49% 48%   50.4%
Labor 53%   52% 51% 52%   49.6%

Sample = 1,775. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

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