State Voting Intention – NSW
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Mar 2015 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | July | August | Sept-ember | |||
| Sample | 3,205 | 3,220 | 3,769 | 3,867 | 1,177 | 1,499 | 1,191 | |||
| First preference vote | ||||||||||
| Liberal/National | 45.6% | 48% | 47% | 44% | 44% | 45% | 45% | 42% | ||
| Labor | 34.1% | 33% | 34% | 37% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 39% | ||
| Greens | 10.3% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10.0% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | ||
| 2PP | ||||||||||
| Liberal/National | 54.3% | 56% | 56% | 52% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 50% | ||
| Labor | 45.7% | 44% | 44% | 48% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 50% |
State Voting Intention – Queensland
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Jan 2015 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | July | August | Sept-ember | |||
| Sample | 1,873 | 1,893 | 2,251 | 2,386 | 711 | 844 | 701 | |||
| First preference vote | ||||||||||
| LNP | 41.3% | 42% | 40% | 40% | 38% | 41% | 35% | 37% | ||
| Labor | 37.5% | 39% | 40% | 37% | 37% | 37% | 40% | 35% | ||
| Greens | 8.4% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 8% | ||
| One Nation | – | – | – | 10% | ||||||
| Katter Party | 1.9% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10.9% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 9% | ||
| 2PP | ||||||||||
| LNP | 48.9% | 50% | 48% | 49% | 47% | 49% | 44% | 48% | ||
| Labor | 51.1% | 50% | 52% | 51% | 53% | 51% | 56% | 52% |
State Voting Intention – Victoria
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Nov 2014 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | July | August | Sept-ember | |||
| Sample | 2,402 | 2,383 | 2,803 | 2,880 | 895 | 1,093 | 892 | |||
| First preference vote | ||||||||||
| Liberal/National | 42.0% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 39% | 40% | 41% | ||
| Labor | 38.1% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 38% | 38% | ||
| Greens | 11.5% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Other/Independent | 8.4% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 2PP | ||||||||||
| Liberal/National | 48.0% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | ||
| Labor | 52.0% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
State Voting Intention – South Australia
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Mar 2014 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | ||
| Sample | 797 | 803 | 912 | 942 | ||
| First preference vote | ||||||
| Liberal | 44.8% | 32% | 29% | 30% | 30% | |
| Labor | 35.8% | 39% | 37% | 34% | 38% | |
| Greens | 8.7% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | |
| Nick Xenophon Team | 15% | 20% | 16% | |||
| Other/Independent | 10.7% | 19% | 10% | 9% | 9% | |
| 2PP | ||||||
| Liberal | 53.0% | 46% | 46% | 49% | 46% | |
| Labor | 47.0% | 54% | 54% | 51% | 54% |
State Voting Intention – Western Australia
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Mar 2013 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | ||
| Sample | 946 | 931 | 1,105 | 1,115 | ||
| First preference vote | ||||||
| Liberal | 47.1% | 37% | 40% | 37% | 34% | |
| National | 6.1% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | |
| Labor | 33.1% | 35% | 34% | 39% | 39% | |
| Greens | 8.4% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 11% | |
| Other/Independent | 5.3% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | |
| 2PP | ||||||
| Liberal/National | 57.3% | 51% | 52% | 49% | 47% | |
| Labor | 42.7% | 49% | 48% | 51% | 53% |