Essential Report

Preferred emissions targets

Oct 12, 2021

Q. The federal government plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 26–28 per cent below 2005 levels by 2030. Which of the following would you prefer the federal government pursued?

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Set a more ambitious target for 2030 43% 45% 42% 51% 43% 37% 52% 38% 56% 40%
Set a net zero target for 2050 25% 27% 23% 28% 24% 22% 25% 27% 30% 25%
Not set any targets for 2030 or 2050 13% 16% 10% 7% 10% 21% 8% 17% 4% 22%
Unsure 19% 12% 26% 13% 23% 21% 15% 18% 10% 13%
Column n 1,097 540 557 342 366 389 362 414 94 138
  • There is a demand for strong commitment to reducing emissions. 43% want to set a more ambitious target for 2030 with a further 25% wanting to aim for net-zero by 2050.
  • Over half of those aged 18-34, Labor and greens voters all want more ambitious targets for 2030.
  • The majority of Coalition voters at least want net-zero targets for 2050 (65%), with 38% wanting more ambitious targets for 2030.

Attitudes to Climate change and COP26 Summit

Oct 12, 2021

Q. The UN climate summit (COP26) will start on October 31 in Glasgow, Scotland.

During the summit, world leaders are expected to develop the next emissions standards to slow global warming and keep temperature rise below 1.5C. Australia is one of 200 countries expected to outline their emissions reduction goals for 2030.

To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

  TOTAL:

Agree

TOTAL:

Disagree

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither agree, nor disagree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree
Australia needs to follow other countries’ lead and make climate change a priority, or risk being left behind 57% 17% 28% 29% 27% 10% 6%
Australian businesses have the opportunity to develop expertise in renewable energy and innovative technologies that other countries will demand 64% 9% 26% 39% 26% 7% 3%
Australian manufacturing could benefit from cheap electricity if more solar and wind farms were built 63% 13% 28% 36% 24% 7% 5%
Australia cannot afford to be locked out of the EU or other trade markets for failing to adopt a net zero emissions by 2050 target 57% 12% 25% 32% 31% 8% 4%

 

TOTAL: Agree Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Australia needs to follow other countries’ lead and make climate change a priority, or risk being left behind 57% 56% 57% 56% 60% 53% 64% 52% 70% 51%
Australian businesses have the opportunity to develop expertise in renewable energy and innovative technologies that other countries will demand 64% 67% 62% 58% 64% 70% 67% 64% 68% 64%
Australian manufacturing could benefit from cheap electricity if more solar and wind farms were built 63% 63% 64% 56% 67% 66% 68% 61% 71% 58%
Australia cannot afford to be locked out of the EU or other trade markets for failing to adopt a net zero emissions by 2050 target 57% 60% 55% 48% 58% 64% 61% 58% 64% 51%
Column n 1,097 540 557 342 366 389 362 414 94 138
  • Most people agree that the expected emissions reduction goals for 2030 are both an opportunity and threat for Australia.
  • Just under two-thirds agree that Australia can develop expertise in renewable energy and innovative technologies that other countries will demand (64%) and that manufacturing could benefit from cheap electricity if more solar and wind farms were built (63%).
  • There is majority agreement with the threats for Australia if they do not match other countries’ commitments with 57% agreeing with both statements – that Australia needs to follow other countries’ lead and make climate change a priority, and Australia cannot afford to be locked out of the EU or other trade markets for failing to adopt a net zero emissions by 2050 target.

Federal government response to Covid-19

Sep 28, 2021

Q. Overall, how would you rate the federal government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak?

  27/09 13/09 30/08 16/08 02/08 19/07 05/07 07/06 24/05 12/04 15/03 01/03 15/02
Very poor 12% 16% 16% 13% 16% 13% 12% 10% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5%
Quite poor 18% 20% 20% 22% 19% 19% 17% 14% 12% 10% 7% 8% 7%
Neither good nor poor 25% 21% 24% 24% 28% 23% 26% 22% 25% 21% 18% 24% 19%
Quite good 34% 28% 29% 32% 28% 32% 33% 38% 40% 40% 39% 39% 42%
Very good 11% 15% 10% 9% 10% 14% 11% 15% 18% 22% 31% 23% 27%
TOTAL: Poor 30% 35% 36% 35% 35% 31% 30% 24% 18% 17% 12% 14% 12%
TOTAL: Good 45% 43% 39% 41% 38% 46% 44% 53% 58% 62% 70% 62% 69%
Base (n) 1,094 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,098 1,100 1,099 1,104 1,100 1,368 1,124 1,074 1,109

 

TOTAL: Good 27/09 13/09 30/08 16/08 02/08 19/07 05/07 07/06 24/05 12/04 15/03 01/03
NSW 48% 41% 34% 34% 39% 49% 44% 62% 56% 66% 69% 64%
VIC 39% 39% 35% 37% 33% 39% 40% 42% 57% 55% 65% 51%
QLD 44% 43% 45% 44% 40% 46% 48% 54% 56% 63% 69% 66%
SA 42% 54% 48% 45% 48% 51% 48% 58% 66% 62% 78% 68%
WA 48% 51% 51% 53% 37% 51% 42% 49% 56% 65% 75% 66%
  • 45% of people rate the federal government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak as quite good or very good (up from 39% last month), with 30% rating it as quite poor or very poor.
  • Positive rating of the federal government’s handling of Covid-19 has increased in NSW to 48%, from 41% a fortnight ago and 34% last month. Positive rating has also dropped in SA to 42%, from 54% last time.

State government response to Covid-19

Sep 28, 2021

Q. How would you rate your state government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak?

TOTAL: Good 27/09 13/09 30/08 16/08 02/08 19/07 05/07 07/06 24/05 12/04 15/03 01/03 15/02
NSW 53% 46% 40% 42% 47% 54% 57% 69% 68% 73% 75% 72% 72%
VIC 44% 50% 44% 56% 54% 49% 50% 48% 63% 58% 62% 49% 59%
QLD 62% 65% 67% 66% 60% 62% 61% 65% 68% 72% 75% 73% 76%
SA 55% 67% 76% 68% 73% 68% 67% 67% 71% 75% 85% 78% 79%
WA 82% 87% 78% 87% 82% 77% 86% 75% 77% 84% 91% 85% 88%
  • Positive rating of the state government’s response to Covid-19 has increased in NSW from 46% to 53%.
  • Rating in Victoria returns to 44% (equal to last month), after being at 50% earlier in September.
  • Positive rating of State government has also fallen in SA, from 67% to 55%.

NSW and Victoria Covid-19 roadmaps

Sep 28, 2021

Q. As you may be aware, the NSW/Victorian government recently announced its roadmap to ease Covid restrictions once vaccination targets are reached.

Thinking about this roadmap out of lockdown, which of the following applies to you?

  NSW VIC
I understand the plan and have confidence in it 48% 36%
I understand the plan but don’t have confidence in it 40% 50%
I’m aware of the plan but don’t understand it 8% 11%
I’m not aware of the plan 4% 3%
Base (n) 348 277
  • Confidence in re-opening roadmaps is higher in NSW than Victoria.
  • 48% of people in NSW understand and have confidence in the state’s re-opening plan, compared to 26% in Victoria.
  • 40% of people in NSW understand the plan, but aren’t confident that it will lead to easing restrictions, compared to 50% of Victorians.

Uptake of a Covid-19 vaccine

Sep 28, 2021

Q. The Covid-19 vaccine rollout is underway in Australia.

Which of the following best describes your situation? 

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
I’ve already had the first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine /

I’ve already had both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine

75% 74% 75% 63% 73% 86% 77% 81% 74% 61%
I’ve booked my vaccination and am waiting to get my first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine 9% 10% 8% 16% 9% 2% 7% 9% 10% 8%
I will get vaccinated but haven’t booked my vaccination yet 10% 9% 11% 15% 10% 6% 13% 6% 10% 8%
I’d never get vaccinated 7% 8% 6% 7% 8% 5% 3% 4% 6% 23%
Base (n) 1,094 539 555 341 368 385 366 397 101 130

 

  State
NSW VIC QLD SA WA
I’ve already had the first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine /

I’ve already had both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine

83% 77% 67% 60% 70%
I’ve booked my vaccination and am waiting to get my first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine 7% 9% 8% 15% 11%
I will get vaccinated but haven’t booked my vaccination yet 4% 8% 16% 12% 14%
I’d never get vaccinated 6% 6% 9% 13% 4%
Base (n) 348 277 211 89 111
  • Uptake of the Covid-19 vaccine continues to increase, with 75% having received at least a first dose. A further 9% are waiting to receive a first dose they have already booked in.
  • Overall, 7% of people say they do not intend to get a vaccine, but this is highest among those intending to vote for a minor party at 23% (e.g. One Nation or UAP) or an independent candidate at the next federal election.

Preferred long-term approach to Australia’s quarantine system

Sep 28, 2021

Q. Which of the following do you think should be Australia’s long-term approach to safely quarantining international travellers?

  Sep ‘21 June ‘21
Hotel quarantine 6% 9%
Purpose-built quarantine facilities 49% 65%
Home quarantine 32% 16%
Unsure 13% 10%
Base (n) 1,094 1,087

 

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Hotel quarantine 6% 7% 5% 12% 6% 2% 6% 6% 8% 8%
Purpose-built quarantine facilities 49% 47% 51% 37% 43% 64% 50% 54% 47% 37%
Home quarantine 32% 35% 30% 35% 37% 25% 34% 31% 35% 37%
Unsure 13% 11% 15% 17% 14% 8% 10% 8% 10% 18%
Base (n) 1,094 539 555 341 368 385 366 397 101 130
  • There has been a shift in attitudes towards quarantine requirements in the past three months. Preference for international travellers to stay in home quarantine has doubled since June, from 16% to 32%.
  • Meanwhile, those preferring purpose-built quarantine facilities has declined from 65% to 49%, though this remains the most preferred solution.
  • Switching preference from purpose-built quarantine to at-home is seen across all demographics, for example with both men and women are less likely to prefer purpose-built quarantine facilities (men falling from 60% to 47% and women from 71% to 51%).
  • There continues to be little support for hotel quarantine as a long-term solution, with just 6% selecting this option (9% in June).

 

Party trust to handle issues

Sep 28, 2021

Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

  Liberal Labor Unsure Difference   Difference Oct’19
National Security 41% 28% 32% +13 +17
Management of the economy 41% 31% 29% +10 +15
Maintaining international relations 37% 32% 31% +5 N/A
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 35% 38% 27% -3 -9
Ensuring a quality education for all children 34% 38% 28% -4 -7
Housing affordability 29% 38% 33% -9 -7
Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries 32% 41% 26% -9 -9
Addressing climate change 26% 39% 35% -13 -15
Fair wages and workplace conditions 28% 46% 27% -18 -19
Base (n) 1,094 1,094 1,094   1,033
  • The Liberal party is most trusted to handle national security (41%, 13pts higher than Labor), manage the economy (41%, 10pts higher than Labor) and maintain international relations (37%, 5pts ahead of Labor).
  • Labor are most trusted to handle fair wages and workplace conditions (46%, 18pt ahead of Liberals), address climate change (39%, 13pts ahead of Liberals), protect Australian jobs and local industries (41%, 9pts over Liberals) and increase housing affordability (38%, 9pts over Liberals).
  • There is little difference in trust between the two major parties to ensure the quality of healthcare or education systems.
  • The difference in trust between the parties is mostly similar to last time this was tested in October 2019.
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