Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
* 1928 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 34% | ||
| National | 2% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 44% | - |
| Labor | 46% | 56% | - |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data. Comments »
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1915 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last report
21 Dec 09 |
| Liberal | 35% | ||
| National | 3% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 44% | +1% |
| Labor | 45% | 56% | -1% |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data collected on the weeks of the 15 – 20 December 2009 and the 12 – 18 January 2010. Comments »
Federal Politics – Voting Intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1875 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 32% | ||
| National | 3% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 42% | - |
| Labor | 46% | 58% | - |
| Greens | 10% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
Federal Politics – Voting Intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1922 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 30% | ||
| National | 4% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 34% | 42% | - |
| Labor | 46% | 58% | - |
| Greens | 9% | ||
| Family First | 3% | ||
| Other/Independent | 8% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
Liberal Leadership
Q. Does the election of Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party make you more likely or less likely to vote Liberal?
| Total | Labor | Coalition | Greens | |
| More likely | 21% | 12% | 42% | 5% |
| Less likely | 33% | 44% | 15% | 62% |
| Much more likely | 9% | 2% | 24% | 2% |
| A little more likely | 12% | 10% | 18% | 3% |
| A little less likely | 10% | 7% | 12% | 11% |
| Much less likely | 23% | 37% | 3% | 51% |
| Makes no difference | 39% | 42% | 39% | 32% |
| Don’t know | 7% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
39% of people think the election of Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party makes no difference to whether or not they will vote Liberal, 33% think it will make them less likely and 21% more likely to vote Liberal.
42% of Coalition voters think the election of Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party will make them more likely to vote Liberal, 15% think that it will make them less likely and 39% think it will make no difference. 44% of Labor voters and 62% of Green voters think it will make them less likely to vote Liberal.
Females were more likely than males to indicate that the election of Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party will make no difference to their vote (43% v 35%).
Federal Politics – Voting Intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1979 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 31% | ||
| National | 4% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 42% | -3% |
| Labor | 47% | 58% | +3% |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 3% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
Federal Politics – Voting Intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1845 sample size
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 20 May 2013
In this week's report:
3Q: Latest episodes
-
Essential Report with EMC’s Peter Lewis and Jackie Woods
Comments19 Sep 2012Lewis and Woods talk through this week’s polling numbers: voting intention, leader attributes, drug laws in Australia, and more…
-
Are we ready for the grey revolution?
Comments12 Sep 2012Ken Morrison says our cities need to be transformed for our ageing population – and it’s not solely about nursing homes.
-
Ships, trains and submarines — can we build them here?
Comments11 Sep 2012Tim Ayres wishes Clive Palmer and other mining giants would give local manufacturers a go instead of heading overseas.
-
Do we undervalue our public sector innovations?
Comments11 Sep 2012Nadine Flood questions whether governments take our science and other publicly funded breakthroughs for granted.
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