Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 16, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,792 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/11/14

2 weeks ago

2/12/14

Last week

9/12/14

This week

16/12/14

Liberal

 

37%

37%

35%

35%

National

3%

3%

4%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

3%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

10%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/11/14

2 weeks ago

2/12/14

Last week

9/12/14

This week

16/12/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 25, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,745 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 28/10/14

2 weeks ago

11/11/14

Last week

18/11/14

This week

25/11/14

Liberal

 

36%

36%

37%

38%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 28/10/14

2 weeks ago

11/11/14

Last week

18/11/14

This week

25/11/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 18, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,768 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 21/10/14

2 weeks ago

4/11/14

Last week

11/11/14

This week

18/11/14

Liberal

 

37%

37%

36%

37%

National

3%

3%

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

8%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 21/10/14

2 weeks ago

4/11/14

Last week

11/11/14

This week

18/11/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 11, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,786 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 14/10/14

2 weeks ago

28/10/14

Last week

4/11/14

This week

11/11/14

Liberal

 

38%

36%

37%

36%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

39%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 14/10/14

2 weeks ago

28/10/14

Last week

4/11/14

This week

11/11/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 28, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,772 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 30/9/14

2 weeks ago

14/10/14

Last week

21/10/14

This week

28/10/14

Liberal

 

37%

38%

37%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

41%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

3%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 30/9/14

2 weeks ago

14/10/14

Last week

21/10/14

This week

28/10/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 14, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,805 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/9/14

2 weeks ago

30/9/14

Last week

7/10/14

This week

14/10/14

Liberal

 

35%

37%

38%

38%

National

3%

2%

2%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

40%

41%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

11%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/9/14

2 weeks ago

30/9/14

Last week

7/10/14

This week

14/10/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 7, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

Sample size = 1,796 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 9/9/14

2 weeks ago

23/9/14

Last week

30/9/14

This week

7/10/14

Liberal

 

36%

36%

37%

38%

National

3%

3%

2%

2%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

39%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 9/9/14

2 weeks ago

23/9/14

Last week

30/9/14

This week

7/10/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 30, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,796 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 2/9/14

2 weeks ago

16/9/14

Last week

23/9/14

This week

30/9/14

Liberal

 

36%

35%

36%

37%

National

4%

3%

3%

2%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

39%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

38%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

11%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 2/9/14

2 weeks ago

16/9/14

Last week

23/9/14

This week

30/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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