Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 30, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,796 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 2/9/14

2 weeks ago

16/9/14

Last week

23/9/14

This week

30/9/14

Liberal

 

36%

35%

36%

37%

National

4%

3%

3%

2%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

39%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

38%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

11%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 2/9/14

2 weeks ago

16/9/14

Last week

23/9/14

This week

30/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 23, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,756 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 26/8/14

2 weeks ago

9/9/14

Last week

16/9/14

This week

23/9/14

Liberal

 

36%

36%

35%

36%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

39%

39%

39%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

11%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

6%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 26/8/14

2 weeks ago

9/9/14

Last week

16/9/14

This week

23/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 16, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,736 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 19/8/14

2 weeks ago

2/9/14

Last week

9/9/14

This week

16/9/14

Liberal

 

37%

36%

36%

35%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

39%

39%

Labor

33.4%

38%

38%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

6%

5%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 19/8/14

2 weeks ago

2/9/14

Last week

9/9/14

This week

16/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 9, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,775 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 12/8/14

2 weeks ago

26/8/14

Last week

2/9/14

This week

9/9/14

Liberal

 

38%

36%

36%

36%

National

3%

3%

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

39%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

39%

37%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

8%

10%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

6%

5%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 12/8/14

2 weeks ago

26/8/14

Last week

2/9/14

This week

9/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 2, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,802 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 5/8/14

2 weeks ago

19/8/14

Last week

26/8/14

This week

2/9/14

Liberal

 

39%

37%

36%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

40%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

37%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

6%

6%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 5/8/14

2 weeks ago

19/8/14

Last week

26/8/14

This week

2/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


 

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 26, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,823 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/7/14

2 weeks ago

12/8/14

Last week

19/8/14

This week

26/8/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

37%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

41%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/7/14

2 weeks ago

12/8/14

Last week

19/8/14

This week

26/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

49%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

51%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 11, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,916 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 13/5/14

2 weeks ago

27/05/14

Last week

3/6/14

This week

11/6/14

Liberal

 

38%

37%

35%

35%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

40%

38%

37%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

39%

40%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 13/5/14

2 weeks ago

27/05/14

Last week

3/6/14

This week

11/6/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

46%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 3, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,936 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 6/5/14

2 weeks ago

20/05/14

Last week

27/5/14

This week

3/6/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

37%

35%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

38%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

8%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 6/5/14

2 weeks ago

20/05/14

Last week

27/5/14

This week

3/6/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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