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  • Aug, 2015

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten? 

      Total   Vote Lab Vote Lib/
    Nat
    Vote Grn Vote Other   Oct 2013 June 2014 Mar 2015 Apr 2015 May 2015 Jun 2015 Jul 2015
    Tony Abbott 36% 9% 83% 3% 24% 41% 36% 33% 32% 35% 38% 37%
    Bill Shorten 32% 68% 4% 58% 15% 22% 40% 37% 35% 32% 33% 30%
    Don’t know 31% 23% 14% 40% 61% 37% 24% 30% 33% 33% 29% 33%

    36% (down 1% since July) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 32% (up 2%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

    37% of men prefer Tony Abbott and 33% prefer Bill Shorten – and women prefer Tony Abbott 36% to 32%.

  • Jun, 2015

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    Leader attributes – Tony Abbott

    Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Tony Abbott?

    Sep 2013 (as Opposition leader)

    Oct 2013

    May 2014

    Dec 2014

    Feb 2015

    Total 2 Jun 2015

    Change

    Out of touch with ordinary people

    52%

    51%

    67%

    66%

    72%

    65%

    -7

    Narrow-minded

    55%

    54%

    61%

    61%

    63%

    63%

    Arrogant

    52%

    54%

    63%

    61%

    65%

    62%

    -3

    Hard working

    71%

    67%

    57%

    62%

    58%

    59%

    +1

    Erratic

    43%

    43%

    51%

    52%

    60%

    54%

    -6

    Superficial

    48%

    49%

    57%

    54%

    55%

    54%

    -1

    Intolerant

    47%

    49%

    55%

    53%

    54%

    51%

    -3

    Intelligent

    63%

    62%

    52%

    51%

    50%

    51%

    +1

    Aggressive

    47%

    46%

    52%

    49%

    45%

    48%

    +3

    A capable leader

    46%

    52%

    41%

    43%

    34%

    40%

    +6

    Good in a crisis

    39%

    45%

    35%

    42%

    36%

    38%

    +2

    Understands the problems facing Australia

    46%

    51%

    42%

    40%

    35%

    38%

    +3

    Trustworthy

    38%

    40%

    29%

    30%

    27%

    31%

    +4

    More honest than most politicians

    34%

    39%

    30%

    30%

    30%

    28%

    -2

    Visionary

    35%

    33%

    31%

    27%

    22%

    25%

    +3

    Tony Abbott’s key attributes were out of touch with ordinary people (65%), narrow-minded (63%), arrogant (62%) and hard working (59%).

    Since February, the largest shifts have been for out of touch with ordinary people (-7), erratic (-6) and a capable leader (+6).

    Overall, Tony Abbott’s ratings have recovered from the lows of February to be at similar levels to December last year.

  • Apr, 2015

    ,

    Approval of Tony Abbott

     Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?

      Total   Vote Lab Vote Lib/
    Nat
    Vote Greens Vote Other   Sep 2013 Mar 2014 June 2014 Dec 2014 Jan 2015 Feb 2015 Mar 2015
    Total approve 33% 9% 75% 4% 15%   41% 40% 35% 32% 37% 29% 31%
    Total dis-
    approve
    58% 88% 18% 89% 76%   36% 47% 58% 55% 53% 62% 56%
    Strongly approve 7% 1% 17% 1% 2% 14% 11% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7%
    Approve 26% 8% 58% 3% 13% 27% 29% 25% 24% 28% 22% 24%
    Dis-
    approve
    28% 34% 16% 31% 44% 13% 20% 18% 22% 23% 26% 22%
    Strongly dis-
    approve
    30% 54% 2% 58% 32% 23% 27% 40% 33% 30% 36% 34%
    Don’t know 9% 3% 7% 7% 9% 23% 12% 7% 12% 10% 9% 12%

    58% of respondents disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister – up 2% since the last time this question was asked in March – and 33% approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing (up 2%). This represents no change in his net rating of -25.

    75% (up 3%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Tony Abbott’s performance, with 18% (down 2%) disapproving. 88% of Labor voters and 89% of Greens voters disapprove of Tony Abbott’s performance.

    By gender men were 36% approve/57% disapprove and women 30% approve/59% disapprove.

  • Feb, 2015

    Tony Abbott leader at next election

    Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the next election?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    Total Dec 2014

    Likely

    20%

    12%

    36%

    12%

    12%

    29%

    Unlikely

    61%

    79%

    40%

    70%

    80%

    51%

    Don’t know

    19%

    9%

    23%

    18%

    8%

    20%

     

    61% (up 10% since December) think that Tony Abbott is unlikely to still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election and 20% (down 9%) think it is likely.

    79% (up 7%) of Labor voters and 70% (up 2%) of Greens voters think it is unlikely and 36% (down 14%) of Liberal/National voters think it is likely he will still be leader.

  • Jun, 2014

    , ,

    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

    22 Oct 2013

    10 Dec

    14 Jan 2014

    11 Feb

    11 Mar

    8 April

    13 May

    Tony Abbott

    36%

    7%

    81%

    6%

    31%

    41%

    43%

    42%

    40%

    39%

    42%

    36%

    Bill Shorten

    40%

    75%

    6%

    72%

    28%

    22%

    33%

    31%

    30%

    33%

    32%

    37%

    Don’t know

    24%

    18%

    14%

    22%

    41%

    37%

    24%

    27%

    31%

    28%

    26%

    28%

    40% (up 3% since May) of respondents think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister and 36% (no change) think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister.

    Men prefer Bill Shorten 39% to 37% and women prefer Bill Shorten 42% to 34%.

  • May, 2014

    ,

    Relations with Indonesia

    Q. How would you rate the performance of Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government in handling relations with Indonesia?

     

    Total

     

    Male

    Female

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    Nov 2013

    Total good

    25%

    29%

    22%

    7%

    54%

    10%

    15%

    29%

    Total poor

    43%

    44%

    42%

    69%

    12%

    68%

    52%

    42%

    Very good

    8%

    9%

    7%

    1%

    18%

    2%

    6%

    11%

    Good

    17%

    20%

    15%

    6%

    36%

    8%

    9%

    18%

    Neither good nor poor

    19%

    21%

    17%

    13%

    27%

    8%

    17%

    21%

    Poor

    19%

    20%

    18%

    25%

    10%

    20%

    29%

    16%

    Very poor

    24%

    24%

    24%

    44%

    2%

    48%

    23%

    26%

    Don’t know

    13%

    6%

    19%

    11%

    8%

    13%

    16%

    8%

    Just 25% of Australians would rate Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government handling of relations with Indonesia as good.

    43% would rate them as poor.

    Males (29%) were slightly more likely to give the government a good rating.

    Lib/Nat voters were more likely to rate them as good (54% good).

  • May, 2014

    , , ,

    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

    22 Oct 2013

    12 Nov

    14 Jan 2014

    11 Feb

    8 April

    Tony Abbott

    36%

    4%

    81%

    4%

    23%

    41%

    42%

    42%

    40%

    42%

    Bill Shorten

    37%

    74%

    3%

    60%

    35%

    22%

    27%

    31%

    30%

    32%

    Don’t know

    28%

    22%

    16%

    36%

    42%

    37%

    31%

    27%

    31%

    26%

    37% of Australians believe Bill Shorten would make a better Prime Minister than Tony Abbott. This is just 1% more than selected Tony Abbott (36%).

    28% don’t know who would make a better Prime Minister.

    Since this question was last asked in April 2014, Tony Abbott has dropped -6% as preferred Prime Minister (down from 42%) and Bill Shorten has gained +5% (up from 32%).

    Males (38%) were slightly more likely than females (34%) to select Tony Abbott. There was no difference between the genders in their preference from Bill Shorten, with 37% of males and 36% of females selecting him. Females (30%) were more likely than males (25%) to select ‘don’t know’.

    Those aged 55+ (51%) were more likely than those aged under 30 (26%) or 30-55 (32%) to select Tony Abbott.

    Those aged 30-55 (42%) were more likely than those aged under 30 (31%) or 55+ 30%) to select Bill Shorten. A very large number of those aged under 30 selected don’t know (44%).

    Those in NSW (42%) were far more likely than those in QLD (28%) or VIC (34%) to select Tony Abbott.

    Those in QLD (44%) were more likely to select Bill Shorten (just 34% of those in NSW and 35% of those in VIC selected Bill Shorten).

  • Apr, 2014

    , ,

    Leader Attributes – Comparisons

     

    Abbott

    Shorten

     

    Difference

    Arrogant

    58%

    40%

    +18

    Narrow-minded

    56%

    39%

    +17

    Intolerant

    47%

    32%

    +15

    Aggressive

    45%

    31%

    +14

    Out of touch with ordinary people

    56%

    44%

    +12

    More honest than most politicians

    37%

    26%

    +11

    Good in a crisis

    45%

    36%

    +9

    A capable leader

    50%

    42%

    +8

    Trustworthy

    40%

    32%

    +8

    Superficial

    50%

    43%

    +7

    Erratic

    43%

    37%

    +6

    Hard-working

    66%

    60%

    +6

    Visionary

    34%

    28%

    +6

    Understands the problems facing Australia

    48%

    44%

    +4

    Intelligent

    59%

    63%

    -4

    Compared to Bill Shorten, Tony Abbott is much more likely to be considered arrogant (+18), narrow minded (+17), intolerant (+15), aggressive (+14), out of touch with ordinary people (+12) and more honest than most politicians (+11).

    Bill Shorten is regarded by more slightly respondents to be intelligent (-4).

    Note that Bill Shorten’s ratings are mostly lower than those of Tony Abbott on both positive and negative attributes – presumably because he is less well known.

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