Approval of Tony Abbott
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
|
18 Jan 2010 |
5 Jul
|
20 Dec |
14 June 2011 |
12 Dec |
12 Jun 2012 |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 2013 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
15 Apr |
13 May |
|
| Total approve |
37% |
37% |
39% |
38% |
32% |
32% |
33% |
33% |
36% |
37% |
37% |
40% |
| Total disapprove |
37% |
47% |
39% |
48% |
53% |
54% |
56% |
57% |
53% |
51% |
52% |
50% |
| Strongly approve |
5% |
8% |
9% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
9% |
| Approve |
32% |
29% |
30% |
32% |
26% |
26% |
25% |
25% |
29% |
30% |
29% |
31% |
| Disapprove |
20% |
23% |
21% |
25% |
25% |
24% |
25% |
27% |
22% |
22% |
24% |
18% |
| Strongly disapprove |
17% |
24% |
18% |
23% |
28% |
30% |
31% |
30% |
31% |
29% |
28% |
32% |
| Don’t know |
26% |
16% |
22% |
15% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
10% |
11% |
12% |
10% |
11% |
40% (up 3%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 50% (down 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -15 to -10 over the last 4 weeks, Tony Abbott’s best rating since July 2011.
77% (up 5%) of Coalition voters approve and 13% (down 8%) disapprove.
By gender – men 42% approve/49% disapprove, women 37% approve/50% disapprove. In net terms this represents a shift with men from -9 to -7 and with women from -22 to -13.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 2010 |
14 June 2011 |
12 Dec |
12 Jun 2012 |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 2013 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
15 Apr |
13 May |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
41% |
39% |
37% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
39% |
37% |
39% |
86% |
2% |
76% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
36% |
35% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
39% |
39% |
41% |
3% |
84% |
2% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
24% |
26% |
26% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
24% |
20% |
11% |
13% |
22% |
39% (up 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 41% (up 2%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 44%/35% and women prefer Julia Gillard 43%/38%.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 June |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 12 |
12 Jun |
10 Sept |
10 Dec |
14 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
15 |
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
41% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
39% |
37% |
81% |
6% |
62% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
36% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
39% |
39% |
6% |
78% |
6% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
24% |
13% |
16% |
32% |
37% (down 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott. This is the first time since August 2012 that Tony Abbott has been preferred over Julia Gillard.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/36% and women prefer Julia Gillard 38%/36%.
Leader attributes – Tony Abbott
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
4 |
7 |
27 |
2 |
17 |
14 |
2 |
Change |
|
| Hard-working |
76% |
78% |
72% |
75% |
68% |
67% |
70% |
70% |
- |
| Intelligent |
70% |
71% |
64% |
61% |
56% |
62% |
64% |
63% |
-1% |
| Arrogant |
59% |
60% |
58% |
60% |
61% |
63% |
61% |
56% |
-5% |
| Narrow-minded |
56% |
53% |
51% |
54% |
54% |
59% |
56% |
53% |
-3% |
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
57% |
53% |
54% |
57% |
54% |
57% |
54% |
52% |
-2% |
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
50% |
53% |
50% |
48% |
49% |
43% |
47% |
49% |
+2% |
| Superficial |
45% |
49% |
49% |
51% |
48% |
49% |
+1% |
||
| Aggressive |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
59% |
55% |
49% |
-6% |
| Intolerant |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
53% |
49% |
48% |
-1% |
| A capable leader |
47% |
52% |
48% |
45% |
41% |
37% |
43% |
47% |
+4% |
| Erratic |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
51% |
51% |
45% |
-6% |
| Good in a crisis |
40% |
42% |
41% |
40% |
36% |
35% |
39% |
44% |
+5% |
| Visionary |
32% |
31% |
27% |
27% |
26% |
29% |
28% |
37% |
+9% |
| More honest than most politicians |
33% |
32% |
31% |
32% |
30% |
27% |
29% |
36% |
+7% |
| Trustworthy |
33% |
35% |
34% |
32% |
32% |
30% |
33% |
36% |
+3% |
Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (70%), intelligent (63%), arrogant (56%), narrow-minded (53%) and out of touch with ordinary people (52%).
Since January the major shifts have been for visionary (+9%), more honest than most politicians (+7%), erratic (-6%), aggressive (-6%), arrogant (-5%) and good in a crisis (+5%).
Main reason for voting Labor
Q. Which of the following is the main reason you would vote for the Labor Party if there was an election today?
| I always vote for the Labor Party |
28% |
| The Labor Party has been a good Government |
11% |
| The Liberal Party would not be a good Government |
4% |
| I don’t want Tony Abbott to be Prime Minister |
35% |
| The Labor Party have better policies than the Liberal Party |
10% |
| I would be personally better off under a Labor Government |
8% |
| Other reason |
2% |
| Don’t know |
2% |
More than one third said the main reason they would be voting Labor was they don’t want Tony Abbott as Prime Minister.
28% said they always vote Labor and 11% said the Labor Party had been a good Government.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 Mar 11 |
14 Jun |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 12 |
12 Jun |
10 Sep |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 13 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
Vote |
Vote Lib |
Vote Gre |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
39% |
84% |
6% |
71% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
39% |
2% |
80% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
14% |
13% |
25% |
39% (no change) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% (up 2%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/36% and women prefer Julia Gillard 42%/37%.
Expectations of a Liberal/National Government
Q. If the Labor Party lost the next election, do you think the following would be better or worse under a Liberal/National Government led by Tony Abbott?
|
A lot better |
A little better |
Stay much the same |
A little worse |
A lot worse |
Don’t use |
NET (Better-Worse) |
|
| Political leadership |
16% |
19% |
27% |
10% |
24% |
4% |
+1 |
| Trust in Government |
13% |
19% |
29% |
12% |
22% |
4% |
-2 |
| Unemployment |
7% |
18% |
39% |
13% |
19% |
5% |
-7 |
| The economy overall |
16% |
22% |
31% |
12% |
16% |
4% |
+10 |
| The cost of living |
6% |
19% |
36% |
14% |
21% |
4% |
-10 |
| Interest rates |
5% |
13% |
48% |
14% |
16% |
5% |
-12 |
| Health services |
6% |
19% |
36% |
16% |
20% |
4% |
-11 |
| Job security |
7% |
17% |
36% |
14% |
22% |
4% |
-12 |
| Workers rights and conditions |
5% |
13% |
37% |
15% |
25% |
5% |
-22 |
| Company profits |
13% |
28% |
37% |
6% |
10% |
6% |
+25 |
| The environment |
5% |
13% |
47% |
11% |
21% |
4% |
-14 |
| Job creation |
8% |
20% |
39% |
13% |
16% |
4% |
-1 |
| Public services |
6% |
15% |
42% |
13% |
20% |
4% |
-12 |
| Benefits for people on Government support – such as pensioners and the unemployed |
5% |
13% |
39% |
16% |
23% |
5% |
-21 |
| Your personal financial situation |
6% |
16% |
42% |
15% |
16% |
4% |
-9 |
Under a Liberal Government, respondents though that the economy overall (+10) and company profits (+25) would be better.
However they were more likely to think that workers rights and conditions (-22), benefits for people on Government support (-21), the environment (-14), interest rates (-12), job security (-12), public services, health services (-11) and the cost of living (-10) would all be worse. 22% think their own financial situation will be better, 31% think it will be worse and 42% much the same.
Liberals ready to govern
Q. Do you think the Liberal Party led by Tony Abbott has shown it has the policies and leadership to be ready to govern?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Liberals are ready to govern |
36% |
6% |
72% |
4% |
| Liberals are not ready to govern |
45% |
82% |
12% |
79% |
| Don’t know |
19% |
13% |
16% |
17% |
36% think that the Liberal Party has the policies and leadership to be ready to govern and 45% think they do not. 72% of Liberal/National voters think they are ready to govern.
41% of men and 32% of women think they are ready to govern.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 12 |
12 |
10 Sept |
10 Dec |
14 |
11 |
Vote |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
82% |
5% |
69% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
6% |
75% |
6% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
12% |
20% |
25% |
39% (down 3%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 4%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/38% and women prefer Julia Gillard 39%/33%.
Will the Coalition deliver a surplus
Q. Do you think that if Tony Abbott and Coalition win the next election, they will deliver a budget surplus in their first year of Government?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Probably will deliver a surplus |
19% |
10% |
31% |
14% |
| Probably won’t deliver a surplus |
60% |
74% |
52% |
66% |
| Don’t know |
20% |
16% |
18% |
20% |
60% think that if Tony Abbott and Coalition win the next election, they probably won’t deliver a budget surplus in their first year of Government and 19% think they probably will.
A majority of all demographic and voter groups (including Liberal/National voters) think the Coalition will probably not deliver a surplus in their first year if elected.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 2010 |
14 Mar 2011 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 2012 |
12 Jun |
10 Sept |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 2013 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
89% |
5% |
84% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
1% |
73% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
10% |
22% |
14% |
42% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 39%/38% and women prefer Julia Gillard 46%/29%.
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 20 May 2013
In this week's report:
3Q: Latest episodes
-
Essential Report with EMC’s Peter Lewis and Jackie Woods
Comments19 Sep 2012Lewis and Woods talk through this week’s polling numbers: voting intention, leader attributes, drug laws in Australia, and more…
-
Are we ready for the grey revolution?
Comments12 Sep 2012Ken Morrison says our cities need to be transformed for our ageing population – and it’s not solely about nursing homes.
-
Ships, trains and submarines — can we build them here?
Comments11 Sep 2012Tim Ayres wishes Clive Palmer and other mining giants would give local manufacturers a go instead of heading overseas.
-
Do we undervalue our public sector innovations?
Comments11 Sep 2012Nadine Flood questions whether governments take our science and other publicly funded breakthroughs for granted.
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